{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6b1c62f-53df-40d4-917b-28f92e61ffbe", "symbol": "ASTRAZEN", "name": "AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 78.67, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.234, "architecture_energy": 45.052, "architecture_maturity": 7.84, "architecture_confidence": 82.815, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.34, "rotation_up": 14.0, "upward_expansion": 8.12, "deceleration": 41.94, "rotation_down": 58.43, "downward_expansion": 81.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 8088.114518, 8148.257981, 8264.980927, 8313.77699 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8191.0, "trend_reference": 8383.827686, "distance_from_trend": -0.023, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7235.546282, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.13205, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.387701, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.047558, "excess_performance": -0.003849, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.023, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028189, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.13205, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108881, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.043877, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0445, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.047558, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.859595, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30568, "relative_activity": 0.742183, "balance": 2.859595, "dry_up": 1.557825, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045384, "annualized_volatility": 0.175643, "from_high_reference": -0.168384, "from_low_reference": 0.084685 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8383.827686, "fair_value_reference": 7235.546282, "structural_low": 7551.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.001154, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.008623, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.095233, "worst_return": -0.092354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.023665, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.0237, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.183107, "worst_return": -0.10698, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.024593, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.048521, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.4157, "worst_return": -0.163612, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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34278.9, "trend": 8405.511019, "fair_value": 7180.078995, "relative_strength": -4.12633, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.778757, "energy": 59.755802, "activity_lines": [ 8063.046484, 8201.697275, 8294.203123, 8346.248304 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8100.0, "volume": 152339, "typical_volume": 40829.15, "trend": 8388.794352, "fair_value": 7207.797296, "relative_strength": -4.867329, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.617254, "energy": 57.165384, "activity_lines": [ 8051.95778, 8162.273082, 8274.542025, 8326.537916 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8191.0, "volume": 30568, "typical_volume": 41186.6, "trend": 8383.827686, "fair_value": 7235.546282, "relative_strength": -4.387701, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.234443, "energy": 45.052369, "activity_lines": [ 8088.114518, 8148.257981, 8264.980927, 8313.77699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }