{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b6b38749-6841-486a-a896-3d03b6f9d40c",
    "symbol": "SW2CHB",
    "name": "UBS MSCI Switzerland 20/35 UCITS ETF CHF acc",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.644,
    "architecture_energy": 69.432,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.048,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.993,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.72,
        "rotation_up": 67.64,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 58.93,
        "rotation_down": 22.01,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        32.436247
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 34.52,
    "trend_reference": 31.851833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083768,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 28.113221,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.227892,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.267082,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.098488,
    "excess_performance": 0.015605,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083768,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036411,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.227892,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097869,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012671,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002804,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098488,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.908702,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 250707,
      "relative_activity": 1.172193,
      "balance": 1.908702,
      "dry_up": 0.971713,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020534,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.150327,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005903,
      "from_low_reference": 0.246434
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.851833,
      "fair_value_reference": 28.113221,
      "structural_low": 28.25,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.005118,
        "positive_rate": 0.62963,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.62963,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00136,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.046877,
        "worst_return": -0.097384,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.053314,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "typical_volume": 411577.15,
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        "fair_value": 27.460272,
        "relative_strength": 1.135915,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "direction": 38.02978,
        "energy": 29.83559,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "fair_value": 27.490593,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 401014.75,
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        "fair_value": 27.521971,
        "relative_strength": 1.348604,
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        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "energy": 34.330942,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 402833.05,
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        "fair_value": 27.559952,
        "relative_strength": 1.28183,
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        "energy": 40.720645,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 380956.0,
        "trend": 30.732833,
        "fair_value": 27.599086,
        "relative_strength": 1.412803,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 63.628146,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 350862.65,
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        "relative_strength": 1.241187,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 53.631883,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 54352,
        "typical_volume": 332737.6,
        "trend": 30.934833,
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        "relative_strength": 1.40046,
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        "direction": 71.145503,
        "energy": 67.791207,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 27.727035,
        "relative_strength": 1.414469,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 73.759534,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 279823.2,
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        "fair_value": 27.778061,
        "relative_strength": 1.323058,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.293122,
        "energy": 85.553038,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 34.200001,
        "volume": 48188,
        "typical_volume": 258169.1,
        "trend": 31.3025,
        "fair_value": 27.838381,
        "relative_strength": 1.273472,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.52168,
        "energy": 94.680473,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 33.724998,
        "volume": 447244,
        "typical_volume": 263180.6,
        "trend": 31.429167,
        "fair_value": 27.89242,
        "relative_strength": 1.170455,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.823172,
        "energy": 88.875796,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.609333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.900002,
        "volume": 151661,
        "typical_volume": 249975.1,
        "trend": 31.5385,
        "fair_value": 27.946619,
        "relative_strength": 0.908084,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.205385,
        "energy": 89.604258,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.793667,
          33.243546,
          32.370595,
          31.962161
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.814999,
        "volume": 244207,
        "typical_volume": 225778.45,
        "trend": 31.639833,
        "fair_value": 27.998061,
        "relative_strength": 0.754868,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.689148,
        "energy": 86.116181,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.857333,
          33.433636,
          32.578167,
          32.109032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.935001,
        "volume": 184740,
        "typical_volume": 214906.05,
        "trend": 31.743333,
        "fair_value": 28.05367,
        "relative_strength": 0.957412,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.255148,
        "energy": 65.960252,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.885667,
          33.599818,
          32.7815,
          32.257108
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.52,
        "volume": 250707,
        "typical_volume": 213878.65,
        "trend": 31.851833,
        "fair_value": 28.113221,
        "relative_strength": 1.267082,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.644319,
        "energy": 69.432424,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.087334,
          33.836455,
          33.022024,
          32.436247
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}