{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6bc523c-0730-4694-9431-74fb079fe27f", "symbol": "SITC", "name": "Site Centers Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -77.619, "architecture_energy": 76.148, "architecture_maturity": 62.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.206, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.52, "rotation_up": 12.51, "upward_expansion": 14.37, "deceleration": 45.38, "rotation_down": 81.5, "downward_expansion": 92.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.277658, 3.569194, 4.212082, 4.622642 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 3.15, "trend_reference": 5.159805, "distance_from_trend": -0.389512, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.010473, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.371317, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -51.428163, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.511628, "excess_performance": -0.637253, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.389512, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132904, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.371317, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.487555, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.514282, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.357751, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.511628, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.08354, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7667281, "relative_activity": 1.980744, "balance": 0.08354, "dry_up": 1.111884, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123331, "annualized_volatility": 0.414918, "from_high_reference": -0.566313, "from_low_reference": 0.089965 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.159805, "fair_value_reference": 5.010473, "structural_low": 2.89, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.02216, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.050983, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.159963, "worst_return": -0.333069, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.041544, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.042863, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.30664, "worst_return": -0.119926, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.079091, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.04831, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.487537, "worst_return": -0.060741, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"volume": 2727497, "typical_volume": 3861986.7, "trend": 5.266472, "fair_value": 5.015736, "relative_strength": -47.978343, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.931729, "energy": 90.088616, "activity_lines": [ 3.349935, 3.743633, 4.367006, 4.759189 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.15, "volume": 7667281, "typical_volume": 3870908.95, "trend": 5.159805, "fair_value": 5.010473, "relative_strength": -51.428163, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.618532, "energy": 76.147797, "activity_lines": [ 3.277658, 3.569194, 4.212082, 4.622642 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }