{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6c988bc-2e65-4964-964b-79a69084e75b", "symbol": "3691", "name": "Giga Solar Materials Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 67.622, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -26.051, "architecture_energy": 53.173, "architecture_maturity": 12.435, "architecture_confidence": 83.659, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.69, "rotation_up": 14.27, "upward_expansion": 25.53, "deceleration": 50.51, "rotation_down": 67.77, "downward_expansion": 52.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 110.966667, 122.045455, 132.090476, 130.127957 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 110.0, "trend_reference": 126.5, "distance_from_trend": -0.130435, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 98.148077, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.120756, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.018728, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.052632, "excess_performance": -0.38874, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.130435, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.180808, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.120756, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.489637, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.220187, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.423396, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.052632, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.309014, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3241682, "relative_activity": 0.335155, "balance": 0.309014, "dry_up": 0.344779, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.183497, "annualized_volatility": 0.68224, "from_high_reference": -0.382022, "from_low_reference": 0.72956 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 126.5, "fair_value_reference": 98.148077, "structural_low": 96.599998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.008427, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.042251, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.093558, "worst_return": -0.089286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.177563, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.157887, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.602761, "worst_return": -0.214925, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.191718, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.137766, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.338957, "worst_return": -0.328571, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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133.835054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 117.5, "volume": 5062017, "typical_volume": 10648492.3, "trend": 122.286667, "fair_value": 97.555769, "relative_strength": -11.930411, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.046612, "energy": 13.84786, "activity_lines": [ 138.566667, 146.209091, 140.583333, 133.609462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 112.5, "volume": 3487178, "typical_volume": 9993120.55, "trend": 123.44, "fair_value": 97.711538, "relative_strength": -17.355256, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.335768, "energy": 17.424203, "activity_lines": [ 128.0, 139.436364, 138.616667, 132.978064 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 104.0, "volume": 4180700, "typical_volume": 9950273.65, "trend": 124.263333, "fair_value": 97.822436, "relative_strength": -22.303867, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.516159, "energy": 38.463393, "activity_lines": [ 117.4, 131.845455, 135.861905, 131.723871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 115.0, "volume": 2429500, "typical_volume": 9831950.05, "trend": 125.473333, "fair_value": 97.994231, "relative_strength": -15.913339, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.804672, "energy": 41.796116, "activity_lines": [ 113.7, 126.972727, 134.211905, 131.126237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 110.0, "volume": 3241682, "typical_volume": 9672173.35, "trend": 126.5, "fair_value": 98.148077, "relative_strength": -22.018728, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.050648, "energy": 53.17307, "activity_lines": [ 110.966667, 122.045455, 132.090476, 130.127957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }