{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6cb7a2f-8183-4291-8dd5-d2965581e2f3", "symbol": "QQQU", "name": "DIREXION DAILY MAGNIFICENT 7 BULL 2X ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 80.776, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.648, "architecture_energy": 20.247, "architecture_maturity": 25.575, "architecture_confidence": 53.101, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.92, "rotation_up": 44.05, "upward_expansion": 61.62, "deceleration": 56.23, "rotation_down": 19.5, "downward_expansion": 13.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 54.470667, 53.565869, 54.543824, 53.388926 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 58.15, "trend_reference": 52.425068, "distance_from_trend": 0.109202, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 41.177099, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.412193, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.583896, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.138083, "excess_performance": 0.012458, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.109202, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013517, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price 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"positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.111415, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.065519, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.135356, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.44325, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 55.1, "volume": 278788, "typical_volume": 388126.15, "trend": 52.742491, "fair_value": 40.880739, "relative_strength": -2.901571, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.474146, "energy": 14.74538, "activity_lines": [ 53.697074, 54.165176, 54.321278, 53.213318 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 48.81, "volume": 260544, "typical_volume": 385325.85, "trend": 52.438825, "fair_value": 40.944173, "relative_strength": -13.429297, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.343336, "energy": 10.956115, "activity_lines": [ 52.342, 52.93302, 53.972027, 52.959609 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.32, "volume": 168012, "typical_volume": 374430.05, "trend": 52.376762, "fair_value": 41.042394, "relative_strength": -6.545525, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.882186, "energy": 11.55098, "activity_lines": [ 52.808667, 52.747612, 54.045905, 53.016459 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.15, "volume": 302518, "typical_volume": 377540.9, "trend": 52.425068, "fair_value": 41.177099, "relative_strength": -1.583896, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.647911, "energy": 20.247157, "activity_lines": [ 54.470667, 53.565869, 54.543824, 53.388926 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }