{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6cba1af-7ea0-4bd3-9766-bb0eaac5450f", "symbol": "9602", "name": "Yaqeen Capital Co.", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 85.389, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.768, "architecture_energy": 32.317, "architecture_maturity": 30.407, "architecture_confidence": 93.24, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.13, "rotation_up": 17.47, "upward_expansion": 2.72, "deceleration": 48.79, "rotation_down": 53.15, "downward_expansion": 76.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.105333, 9.17, 9.241714, 9.349097 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.0, "trend_reference": 9.524667, "distance_from_trend": -0.055085, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.13753, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.258498, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.142133, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.053628, "excess_performance": -0.021798, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.055085, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021706, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.258498, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002964, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.081421, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039742, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.053628, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.15531, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 80385, "relative_activity": 1.063746, "balance": 0.15531, "dry_up": 2.308075, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057179, "annualized_volatility": 0.238192, "from_high_reference": -0.24812, "from_low_reference": 0.06383 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.524667, "fair_value_reference": 12.13753, "structural_low": 8.46, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.004902, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.010034, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.035533, "worst_return": -0.025974, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.025381, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.042805, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.025381, "worst_return": 0.025381, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.046701, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.073044, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.046701, "worst_return": -0.046701, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"activity_lines": [ 9.170667, 9.214182, 9.275048, 9.384989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.0, "volume": 80385, "typical_volume": 75567.85, "trend": 9.524667, "fair_value": 12.13753, "relative_strength": -8.142133, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.767968, "energy": 32.31671, "activity_lines": [ 9.105333, 9.17, 9.241714, 9.349097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }