{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b6d46a28-5a77-4a31-b8ca-d54ed90a1757",
    "symbol": "CTGP34",
    "name": "Citigroup Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 31.697,
    "architecture_energy": 23.876,
    "architecture_maturity": 65.635,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.222,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.75,
        "rotation_up": 20.07,
        "upward_expansion": 53.46,
        "deceleration": 93.99,
        "rotation_down": 31.82,
        "downward_expansion": 19.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        113.402083,
        115.548775,
        113.078473,
        109.678096
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 114.639999,
    "trend_reference": 105.859884,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.082941,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 70.433078,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.627644,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.708645,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.089906,
    "excess_performance": 0.146954,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082941,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061252,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.627644,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027023,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107086,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143886,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089906,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.314634,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 30960,
      "relative_activity": 1.332387,
      "balance": 1.314634,
      "dry_up": 1.028619,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.062657,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.297183,
      "from_high_reference": -0.07675,
      "from_low_reference": 0.413893
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 105.859884,
      "fair_value_reference": 70.433078,
      "structural_low": 88.707711,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.003843,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019085,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.067517,
        "worst_return": -0.122809,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.105619,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009539,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.192936,
        "worst_return": -0.028364,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.368203,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.268028,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.371279,
        "worst_return": 0.185411,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.543121,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.525718,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.543121,
        "worst_return": 0.543121,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.379146,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.085986,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.14855,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.141414,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.111769,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.044849,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008107,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.163778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.031051,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006785,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.149742,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.010992,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.060397,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009155,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "fair_value": 64.73681,
        "relative_strength": 1.836509,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 63726.4,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 14.789543,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 118.419998,
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        "typical_volume": 45294.6,
        "trend": 101.614035,
        "fair_value": 66.208416,
        "relative_strength": 17.649618,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 30287.5,
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        "fair_value": 67.890902,
        "relative_strength": 15.036949,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 68.440484,
        "relative_strength": 12.301647,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 110.51635,
        "volume": 54277,
        "typical_volume": 29772.35,
        "trend": 105.353159,
        "fair_value": 68.925352,
        "relative_strength": 6.110295,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.179931,
        "energy": 49.990533,
        "activity_lines": [
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          111.605675,
          108.211625
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 110.875061,
        "volume": 3625,
        "typical_volume": 28238.1,
        "trend": 105.409132,
        "fair_value": 69.413475,
        "relative_strength": 6.32773,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.619592,
        "energy": 29.85994,
        "activity_lines": [
          114.449002,
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          108.567877
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 113.599998,
        "volume": 6744,
        "typical_volume": 26425.0,
        "trend": 105.622471,
        "fair_value": 69.918585,
        "relative_strength": 6.49946,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.044807,
        "energy": 23.40469,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.495943,
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          112.52768,
          109.09632
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 114.639999,
        "volume": 30960,
        "typical_volume": 23236.5,
        "trend": 105.859884,
        "fair_value": 70.433078,
        "relative_strength": 10.708645,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.696525,
        "energy": 23.875583,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.402083,
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          109.678096
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}