{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6d4905f-e2ca-4f5c-ab1e-43fdc3717328", "symbol": "ZSTK", "name": "ZeroStack Corp.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.146, "architecture_energy": 87.744, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.567, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.51, "rotation_up": 12.41, "upward_expansion": 21.9, "deceleration": 37.03, "rotation_down": 76.55, "downward_expansion": 97.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.621333, 2.248182, 3.31291, 4.313916 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.65, "trend_reference": 5.623533, "distance_from_trend": -0.70659, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.115276, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.950174, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -85.158735, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.822771, "excess_performance": -1.010225, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.70659, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232338, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.950174, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077298, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.851587, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152803, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.822771, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.299529, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 136866, "relative_activity": 1.477679, "balance": 0.299529, "dry_up": 1.380089, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.523469, "annualized_volatility": 1.297, "from_high_reference": -0.964894, "from_low_reference": 0.25 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.623533, "fair_value_reference": 33.115276, "structural_low": 1.32, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.070156, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.109345, "regime_survival": 0.828571, "best_return": 0.685393, "worst_return": -0.546269, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.128437, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.167826, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.695652, "worst_return": -0.677366, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.29646, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.427342, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.428883, "worst_return": -0.823692, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-83.042119, "energy": 85.920818, "activity_lines": [ 3.168667, 3.726818, 4.638071, 5.477409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.7, "volume": 174817, "typical_volume": 90465.3, "trend": 6.183367, "fair_value": 34.754411, "relative_strength": -85.941527, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.367295, "energy": 93.176047, "activity_lines": [ 2.560667, 3.289818, 4.27471, 5.176095 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.45, "volume": 137927, "typical_volume": 92292.8, "trend": 5.989033, "fair_value": 34.163706, "relative_strength": -87.244388, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.813079, "energy": 92.415176, "activity_lines": [ 2.06, 2.876455, 3.918014, 4.870716 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.52, "volume": 61698, "typical_volume": 90811.55, "trend": 5.811367, "fair_value": 33.604699, "relative_strength": -86.159647, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.189334, "energy": 90.990513, "activity_lines": [ 1.755333, 2.525455, 3.592938, 4.582391 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.65, "volume": 136866, "typical_volume": 92622.3, "trend": 5.623533, "fair_value": 33.115276, "relative_strength": -85.158735, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.146428, "energy": 87.744171, "activity_lines": [ 1.621333, 2.248182, 3.31291, 4.313916 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }