{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6eb9fe3-2b45-447b-942e-7d0a0ca629e6", "symbol": "SBUX", "name": "Starbucks Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.999, "architecture_energy": 42.588, "architecture_maturity": 37.22, "architecture_confidence": 57.017, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.15, "rotation_up": 49.09, "upward_expansion": 76.79, "deceleration": 69.23, "rotation_down": 22.97, "downward_expansion": 5.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 92.374, 91.808, 89.881657, 87.976173 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 92.190002, "trend_reference": 85.471812, "distance_from_trend": 0.078601, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 80.094484, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.151016, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.080313, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.125342, "excess_performance": -0.048904, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.078601, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076718, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.151016, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03799, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.050803, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035693, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.125342, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.914642, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1752, "relative_activity": 2.414054, "balance": 1.914642, "dry_up": 1.578367, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044928, "annualized_volatility": 0.258801, "from_high_reference": -0.055527, "from_low_reference": 0.383327 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 85.471812, "fair_value_reference": 80.094484, "structural_low": 74.823337, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.011916, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.003623, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.135533, "worst_return": -0.212137, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.018874, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.030218, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.174249, "worst_return": -0.326574, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.021558, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.052122, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.172087, "worst_return": -0.12129, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.633492, "energy": 67.745358, "activity_lines": [ 92.754666, 90.986363, 88.918565, 87.019721 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 91.720001, "volume": 1038, "typical_volume": 691.75, "trend": 84.88834, "fair_value": 80.048571, "relative_strength": -2.995946, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.022328, "energy": 50.713738, "activity_lines": [ 92.480667, 91.379818, 89.389652, 87.505098 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 92.190002, "volume": 1752, "typical_volume": 725.75, "trend": 85.471812, "fair_value": 80.094484, "relative_strength": -5.080313, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.999249, "energy": 42.587838, "activity_lines": [ 92.374, 91.808, 89.881657, 87.976173 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }