{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6f92fb6-cc56-49a3-9fe0-929cceaf655d", "symbol": "WWD", "name": "Woodward Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 63.599, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 12.33, "architecture_energy": 15.937, "architecture_maturity": 66.867, "architecture_confidence": 86.095, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.92, "rotation_up": 21.23, "upward_expansion": 55.85, "deceleration": 88.14, "rotation_down": 38.78, "downward_expansion": 21.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 380.440667, 393.717636, 386.632356, 381.832829 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 362.89, "trend_reference": 374.142816, "distance_from_trend": -0.030076, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 221.757327, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.636428, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.090627, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.064315, "excess_performance": -0.251768, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.030076, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10112, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.636428, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21928, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.030906, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087038, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.064315, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.408087, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3327180, "relative_activity": 0.913367, "balance": 1.408087, "dry_up": 0.914969, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091393, "annualized_volatility": 0.370121, "from_high_reference": -0.195223, "from_low_reference": 0.559759 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 374.142816, "fair_value_reference": 221.757327, "structural_low": 337.06, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.003546, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.013125, "regime_survival": 0.757576, "best_return": 0.164713, "worst_return": -0.116019, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.047833, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.002168, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.501152, "worst_return": -0.250602, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.27116, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.087582, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.372649, "worst_return": -0.355396, 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[ 410.225333, 405.734909, 390.155337, 383.136142 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 360.75, "volume": 5076997, "typical_volume": 3671676.3, "trend": 372.761066, "fair_value": 220.234958, "relative_strength": 1.506742, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.197151, "energy": 12.529416, "activity_lines": [ 392.614, 399.617091, 388.30211, 382.469672 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 362.89, "volume": 3327180, "typical_volume": 3642765.45, "trend": 374.142816, "fair_value": 221.757327, "relative_strength": -3.090627, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.329792, "energy": 15.937074, "activity_lines": [ 380.440667, 393.717636, 386.632356, 381.832829 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }