{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7018c28-ee22-4c23-aa57-b8713ee41937", "symbol": "PRAPAT", "name": "Peerapat Technology Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.227, "architecture_energy": 27.617, "architecture_maturity": 69.097, "architecture_confidence": 79.358, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.78, "rotation_up": 33.14, "upward_expansion": 62.95, "deceleration": 88.07, "rotation_down": 26.26, "downward_expansion": 15.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.795333, 0.800909, 0.783783, 0.764494 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.79, "trend_reference": 0.743196, "distance_from_trend": 0.062977, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.059837, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.254603, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.932383, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.14316, "excess_performance": -0.049165, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.062977, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043527, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.254603, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.127423, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.089324, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090907, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.14316, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.652749, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2015100, "relative_activity": 1.478484, "balance": 5.652749, "dry_up": 1.208628, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05258, "annualized_volatility": 0.283838, "from_high_reference": -0.241357, "from_low_reference": 0.227217 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.743196, "fair_value_reference": 1.059837, "structural_low": 0.643733, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.055046, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.043688, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.309091, "worst_return": -0.194175, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.172345, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.183561, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.246753, "worst_return": -0.289216, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.166716, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.285132, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.616751, "worst_return": -0.42623, "sufficient": false }, { 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.83, "volume": 2927700, "typical_volume": 1418710.0, "trend": 0.73488, "fair_value": 1.077901, "relative_strength": -7.056375, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.291347, "energy": 55.730927, "activity_lines": [ 0.814, 0.807455, 0.771878, 0.754343 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.8, "volume": 1106500, "typical_volume": 1311525.0, "trend": 0.737564, "fair_value": 1.072045, "relative_strength": -10.190884, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.415833, "energy": 47.168959, "activity_lines": [ 0.81, 0.808182, 0.777301, 0.758544 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.78, "volume": 539900, "typical_volume": 1301185.0, "trend": 0.740213, "fair_value": 1.066362, "relative_strength": -10.975279, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.053795, "energy": 34.404963, "activity_lines": [ 0.8, 0.803818, 0.780255, 0.761282 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.79, "volume": 2015100, "typical_volume": 1362950.0, "trend": 0.743196, "fair_value": 1.059837, "relative_strength": -8.932383, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.226925, "energy": 27.617403, "activity_lines": [ 0.795333, 0.800909, 0.783783, 0.764494 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }