{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7082a44-9b12-431b-88ec-420e97d242e0", "symbol": "ACLS", "name": "Axcelis Technologies, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.959, "architecture_energy": 41.712, "architecture_maturity": 35.7, "architecture_confidence": 84.157, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.92, "rotation_up": 33.82, "upward_expansion": 70.17, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 30.67, "downward_expansion": 24.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 2957.333333, 3074.03691, 2827.50781, 2519.968105 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2272.0, "trend_reference": 2171.570996, "distance_from_trend": 0.046247, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1920.483391, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.183035, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 15.890069, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.336471, "excess_performance": 0.391137, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.046247, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.291804, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.183035, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.205199, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.158901, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.423341, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.336471, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10, "relative_activity": 1.904762, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.47619, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06128, "annualized_volatility": 1.122351, "from_high_reference": -0.311515, "from_low_reference": 0.653434 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2171.570996, "fair_value_reference": 1920.483391, "structural_low": 1374.109985, "invalidation": "A 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.014678, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.027044, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", 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"trend": 2152.504329, "fair_value": 1925.050699, "relative_strength": 69.283613, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.731876, "energy": 67.452529, "activity_lines": [ 3300.0, 3221.892001, 2843.302095, 2512.258707 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2272.0, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 5.25, "trend": 2171.570996, "fair_value": 1920.483391, "relative_strength": 15.890069, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.958809, "energy": 41.712433, "activity_lines": [ 2957.333333, 3074.03691, 2827.50781, 2519.968105 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }