{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b70df1a0-327a-457a-888e-2a9241393fc2",
    "symbol": "VLED",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy Low Vol Europe UCITS ETF Dis",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 86.646,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.544,
    "architecture_energy": 92.943,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.133,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.016,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.14,
        "rotation_up": 77.64,
        "upward_expansion": 97.33,
        "deceleration": 41.96,
        "rotation_down": 15.08,
        "downward_expansion": 21.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        166.037654
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 174.360001,
    "trend_reference": 163.846847,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.064165,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 142.666408,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.222152,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.761215,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.108852,
    "excess_performance": 0.055541,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064165,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033274,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.222152,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058499,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027612,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002869,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108852,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.164416,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14,
      "relative_activity": 0.114519,
      "balance": 0.164416,
      "dry_up": 0.118609,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013403,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.165943,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002289,
      "from_low_reference": 0.182551
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 142.666408,
      "structural_low": 150.561174,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": -0.002606,
        "positive_rate": 0.473684,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.473684,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004076,
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        "best_return": 0.04772,
        "worst_return": -0.067053,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.04418,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
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        "worst_return": -0.113336,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.036684,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "typical_volume": 127.35,
        "trend": 157.014111,
        "fair_value": 138.583309,
        "relative_strength": 3.687643,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.450588,
        "energy": 47.856198,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 161.539993,
        "volume": 22,
        "typical_volume": 128.45,
        "trend": 157.389813,
        "fair_value": 138.821479,
        "relative_strength": 3.048152,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 157.694849,
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        "relative_strength": 3.6603,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 45.094932,
        "energy": 33.845543,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 128.25,
        "trend": 158.149217,
        "fair_value": 139.311032,
        "relative_strength": 4.385712,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 52.792639,
        "energy": 25.82208,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 129.05,
        "trend": 158.570639,
        "fair_value": 139.577524,
        "relative_strength": 3.614714,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 126.3,
        "trend": 159.000036,
        "fair_value": 139.845624,
        "relative_strength": 2.806377,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": 0.948967,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 160.321897,
        "fair_value": 140.706163,
        "relative_strength": 4.357936,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.122849,
        "energy": 73.897062,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 172.779999,
        "volume": 31,
        "typical_volume": 117.35,
        "trend": 161.002129,
        "fair_value": 141.060255,
        "relative_strength": 4.788409,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.317739,
        "energy": 87.649318,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 169.039993,
        "volume": 1550,
        "typical_volume": 184.85,
        "trend": 161.570032,
        "fair_value": 141.3728,
        "relative_strength": 4.466973,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.761226,
        "energy": 79.723913,
        "activity_lines": [
          169.453329,
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          164.808286,
          163.605248
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 170.440002,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 183.65,
        "trend": 162.184603,
        "fair_value": 141.684296,
        "relative_strength": 5.197924,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.860881,
        "energy": 84.255901,
        "activity_lines": [
          170.171998,
          168.102543,
          165.479129,
          164.177504
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 170.839996,
        "volume": 6,
        "typical_volume": 181.5,
        "trend": 162.724186,
        "fair_value": 141.98786,
        "relative_strength": 4.897857,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.096652,
        "energy": 86.674348,
        "activity_lines": [
          170.537331,
          168.930907,
          166.190354,
          164.735917
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 171.820007,
        "volume": 36,
        "typical_volume": 123.85,
        "trend": 163.278901,
        "fair_value": 142.318462,
        "relative_strength": 3.768416,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.490571,
        "energy": 86.2201,
        "activity_lines": [
          170.976001,
          169.729817,
          166.953827,
          165.322744
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 174.360001,
        "volume": 14,
        "typical_volume": 122.25,
        "trend": 163.846847,
        "fair_value": 142.666408,
        "relative_strength": 2.761215,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.543659,
        "energy": 92.942883,
        "activity_lines": [
          172.101335,
          170.846545,
          167.902411,
          166.037654
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}