{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b71294dd-8197-4218-ad02-9c0f1f220163",
    "symbol": "U77",
    "name": "Sarine Technologies Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -58.168,
    "architecture_energy": 43.21,
    "architecture_maturity": 78.874,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.886,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.37,
        "rotation_up": 22.8,
        "upward_expansion": 5.63,
        "deceleration": 59.93,
        "rotation_down": 52.6,
        "downward_expansion": 78.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.187,
        0.187909,
        0.190986,
        0.195026
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.189,
    "trend_reference": 0.2023,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.065744,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.241799,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.21836,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -30.817903,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.16,
    "excess_performance": -0.314835,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065744,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107237,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.21836,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014299,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.308179,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.083921,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.16,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.678358,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 496200,
      "relative_activity": 2.739696,
      "balance": 0.678358,
      "dry_up": 1.462883,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041107,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.176367,
      "from_high_reference": -0.444118,
      "from_low_reference": 0.073864
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.2023,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.241799,
      "structural_low": 0.176,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": -0.016669,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038764,
        "regime_survival": 0.846154,
        "best_return": 0.113205,
        "worst_return": -0.149254,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.051725,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.087312,
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        "best_return": 0.536585,
        "worst_return": -0.294363,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.021739,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
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        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.066533,
        "worst_return": -0.294363,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.452524,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 372700,
        "typical_volume": 212470.0,
        "trend": 0.207033,
        "fair_value": 0.245706,
        "relative_strength": -30.653216,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
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          0.190327,
          0.19369,
          0.198742
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 40000,
        "typical_volume": 178000.0,
        "trend": 0.205067,
        "fair_value": 0.244463,
        "relative_strength": -33.587239,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.725095,
        "energy": 62.680041,
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          0.1862,
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          0.192186,
          0.197062
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.188,
        "volume": 150900,
        "typical_volume": 169910.0,
        "trend": 0.2035,
        "fair_value": 0.243143,
        "relative_strength": -30.945542,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.673518,
        "energy": 51.873896,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.186267,
          0.187964,
          0.191486,
          0.195961
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.189,
        "volume": 496200,
        "typical_volume": 181115.0,
        "trend": 0.2023,
        "fair_value": 0.241799,
        "relative_strength": -30.817903,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.16824,
        "energy": 43.210365,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.187,
          0.187909,
          0.190986,
          0.195026
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}