{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b71b21b0-38b8-4844-b8e3-6039f8e3d219", "symbol": "UD1U", "name": "IREIT Global", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -78.794, "architecture_energy": 91.217, "architecture_maturity": 58.98, "architecture_confidence": 83.571, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 9.87, "upward_expansion": 21.44, "deceleration": 37.25, "rotation_down": 84.84, "downward_expansion": 99.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.1862, 0.194327, 0.208562, 0.220822 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.183, "trend_reference": 0.239922, "distance_from_trend": -0.237253, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.278091, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.341943, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.140177, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.380952, "excess_performance": -0.535787, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.237253, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106117, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.341943, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145465, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.411402, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184366, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.380952, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.091976, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1807500, "relative_activity": 1.074693, "balance": 0.091976, "dry_up": 1.696232, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047499, "annualized_volatility": 0.250843, "from_high_reference": -0.400921, "from_low_reference": 0.016667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.239922, "fair_value_reference": 0.278091, "structural_low": 0.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.010682, "positive_rate": 0.305556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.014524, "regime_survival": 0.861111, "best_return": 0.208334, "worst_return": -0.151518, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.050277, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.035168, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.256982, "worst_return": -0.157631, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.097794, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.12969, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.167199, "worst_return": -0.22161, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 0.281562, "relative_strength": -38.725578, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.368864, "energy": 91.793568, "activity_lines": [ 0.201667, 0.209182, 0.220619, 0.233016 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.185, "volume": 4380700, "typical_volume": 1891075.0, "trend": 0.247068, "fair_value": 0.280364, "relative_strength": -40.792709, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.469886, "energy": 93.547197, "activity_lines": [ 0.194933, 0.203527, 0.216329, 0.228795 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.184, "volume": 1023000, "typical_volume": 1719305.0, "trend": 0.243512, "fair_value": 0.279215, "relative_strength": -40.808634, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.334335, "energy": 92.016562, "activity_lines": [ 0.189867, 0.1986, 0.212324, 0.224726 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.183, "volume": 1807500, "typical_volume": 1681875.0, "trend": 0.239922, "fair_value": 0.278091, "relative_strength": -41.140177, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.793648, "energy": 91.216953, "activity_lines": [ 0.1862, 0.194327, 0.208562, 0.220822 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }