{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b71e83dd-1ad5-4458-8d97-8eda3515bf1f", "symbol": "SPEONE", "name": "SpectrumOne AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.135, "architecture_energy": 24.906, "architecture_maturity": 18.424, "architecture_confidence": 61.081, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.37, "rotation_up": 18.23, "upward_expansion": 17.18, "deceleration": 56.02, "rotation_down": 51.17, "downward_expansion": 42.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.156333, 0.16245, 0.168047, 0.168024 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.149, "trend_reference": 0.166536, "distance_from_trend": -0.105296, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.262145, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.431612, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.388706, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.045614, "excess_performance": -0.01588, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.105296, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020856, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.431612, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024809, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.213887, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007378, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.045614, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.027461, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2217339, "relative_activity": 1.166366, "balance": 7.027461, "dry_up": 0.811902, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.22829, "annualized_volatility": 0.500517, "from_high_reference": -0.422481, "from_low_reference": 0.146154 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.166536, "fair_value_reference": 0.262145, "structural_low": 0.1315, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.105263, "positive_rate": 0.26087, "directional_follow_through": 0.26087, "median_excess_return": -0.084174, "regime_survival": 0.652174, "best_return": 0.117986, "worst_return": -0.27824, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.174286, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.174063, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.054054, "worst_return": -0.398568, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.335503, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.33336, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": -0.086797, "worst_return": -0.457143, "sufficient": 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"fair_value": 0.267013, "relative_strength": -10.187635, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.222443, "energy": 13.752706, "activity_lines": [ 0.17298, 0.176837, 0.174108, 0.171044 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.15, "volume": 892236, "typical_volume": 1914266.85, "trend": 0.166419, "fair_value": 0.266, "relative_strength": -20.418975, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -9.167362, "energy": 12.194462, "activity_lines": [ 0.164809, 0.172036, 0.171972, 0.169968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.1575, "volume": 2394199, "typical_volume": 1981244.25, "trend": 0.166669, "fair_value": 0.264706, "relative_strength": -16.575202, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.692154, "energy": 13.867627, "activity_lines": [ 0.161104, 0.168853, 0.170717, 0.169393 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.1635, "volume": 670141, "typical_volume": 1876709.6, "trend": 0.167052, "fair_value": 0.263478, "relative_strength": -13.47419, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.260402, "energy": 14.745955, "activity_lines": [ 0.161067, 0.166897, 0.170081, 0.169189 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.149, "volume": 2217339, "typical_volume": 1901065.55, "trend": 0.166536, "fair_value": 0.262145, "relative_strength": -21.388706, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.134896, "energy": 24.905689, "activity_lines": [ 0.156333, 0.16245, 0.168047, 0.168024 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }