{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b724404f-a592-4bae-ad59-ca4a0023963c", "symbol": "300571", "name": "Hangzhou Anysoft Information Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 64.051, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -23.848, "architecture_energy": 50.692, "architecture_maturity": 9.849, "architecture_confidence": 66.542, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.61, "rotation_up": 14.78, "upward_expansion": 25.42, "deceleration": 50.01, "rotation_down": 65.35, "downward_expansion": 52.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.286, 35.445818, 40.415619, 39.662795 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 34.959999, "trend_reference": 37.717666, "distance_from_trend": -0.073113, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.84609, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.133369, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.574224, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.196031, "excess_performance": 0.188632, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.073113, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089413, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.133369, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.784104, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.025742, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.486022, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.196031, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.0178, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 58475306, "relative_activity": 0.882653, "balance": 2.0178, "dry_up": 0.805361, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.25143, "annualized_volatility": 0.906636, "from_high_reference": -0.523316, "from_low_reference": 0.39172 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.717666, "fair_value_reference": 30.84609, "structural_low": 25.120001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.041526, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.066835, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.055804, "worst_return": -0.076233, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.005401, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.04835, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.292224, "worst_return": -0.150742, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.063184, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.031872, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.621799, "worst_return": -0.334253, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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"end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.016503, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.146077, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.007781, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.0391, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.193596, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.087791, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": 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"fair_value": 30.939038, "relative_strength": -2.798898, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.415405, "energy": 13.525398, "activity_lines": [ 41.422, 44.694545, 44.174476, 41.214301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.49, "volume": 39417813, "typical_volume": 64916534.8, "trend": 37.272666, "fair_value": 30.903974, "relative_strength": -15.400755, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.975668, "energy": 28.259191, "activity_lines": [ 37.268, 41.222, 43.053762, 40.715892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.280001, "volume": 68690236, "typical_volume": 66928396.6, "trend": 37.376333, "fair_value": 30.874359, "relative_strength": -13.056054, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.544588, "energy": 32.808202, "activity_lines": [ 34.010667, 38.411455, 42.01919, 40.264752 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.559999, "volume": 46835498, "typical_volume": 67347611.5, "trend": 37.474, "fair_value": 30.837628, "relative_strength": -10.562242, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.361458, "energy": 48.994811, "activity_lines": [ 31.901333, 36.218182, 41.008619, 39.824989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.959999, "volume": 58475306, "typical_volume": 66249475.15, "trend": 37.717666, "fair_value": 30.84609, "relative_strength": -2.574224, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.848259, "energy": 50.692224, "activity_lines": [ 32.286, 35.445818, 40.415619, 39.662795 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }