{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b74b4f20-0f9f-439f-9abc-523955c95195", "symbol": "AMCO", "name": "Amcomri Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 60.421, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.063, "architecture_energy": 7.896, "architecture_maturity": 11.789, "architecture_confidence": 65.633, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 66.19, "rotation_up": 26.29, "upward_expansion": 49.38, "deceleration": 77.62, "rotation_down": 25.18, "downward_expansion": 25.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 142.2, 143.990909, 144.280952, 140.541505 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 137.5, "trend_reference": 135.536667, "distance_from_trend": 0.014486, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 106.995476, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.285101, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.083939, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.082677, "excess_performance": 0.016399, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014486, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054596, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.285101, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.16018, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.020839, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192395, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.082677, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.063266, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 197691, "relative_activity": 0.162434, "balance": 0.063266, "dry_up": 3.890426, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086771, "annualized_volatility": 0.495972, "from_high_reference": -0.166667, "from_low_reference": 0.510989 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 135.536667, "fair_value_reference": 106.995476, "structural_low": 105.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"2026-06-26", "close": 148.0, "volume": 44114, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 147.0, "volume": 30643, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 141.5, "volume": 262161, "typical_volume": 328252.35, "trend": 133.536667, "fair_value": 105.14525, "relative_strength": 4.790153, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.282788, "energy": 24.693205, "activity_lines": [ 145.033333, 145.645455, 142.452381, 138.072473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 152.5, "volume": 536964, "typical_volume": 345092.15, "trend": 134.186667, "fair_value": 105.729877, "relative_strength": 11.407114, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.786143, "energy": 33.614049, "activity_lines": [ 147.566667, 146.872727, 143.928571, 139.295914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 145.0, "volume": 17460587, "typical_volume": 1187974.55, "trend": 134.786667, "fair_value": 106.208781, "relative_strength": 4.347229, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.397366, "energy": 26.57159, "activity_lines": [ 146.766667, 146.590909, 144.511905, 139.993548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 141.0, "volume": 744195, "typical_volume": 1213808.3, "trend": 135.22, "fair_value": 106.627952, "relative_strength": 0.395471, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.98335, "energy": 18.38292, "activity_lines": [ 144.833333, 145.536364, 144.614286, 140.394409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 137.5, "volume": 197691, "typical_volume": 1217054.15, "trend": 135.536667, "fair_value": 106.995476, "relative_strength": -2.083939, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.063044, "energy": 7.895936, "activity_lines": [ 142.2, 143.990909, 144.280952, 140.541505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }