{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b755c467-4880-4c60-8aa5-249bcdd320b2", "symbol": "PTLE", "name": "PTL LTD Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 39.436, "architecture_energy": 70.771, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 53.675, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.95, "rotation_up": 73.86, "upward_expansion": 66.75, "deceleration": 21.0, "rotation_down": 16.51, "downward_expansion": 25.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.014033, 9.124836, 7.80051, 7.533163 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 9.9001, "trend_reference": 7.62097, "distance_from_trend": 0.29906, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 105.006117, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.905719, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.409721, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.125011, "excess_performance": -0.062442, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.29906, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130536, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.905719, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048625, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.144097, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.61624, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.125011, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.00149, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40778, "relative_activity": 0.061559, "balance": 6.00149, "dry_up": 0.149127, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144045, "annualized_volatility": 1.365865, "from_high_reference": -0.724997, "from_low_reference": 1.474963 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.62097, "fair_value_reference": 105.006117, "structural_low": 4.0001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.549231, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.028449, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 360.0, "volume": 3235498, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 328.8, "volume": 498531, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": 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43.679974, "energy": 48.857811, "activity_lines": [ 7.902, 6.910273, 6.530762, 6.876572 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.19, "volume": 240765, "typical_volume": 690473.65, "trend": 7.487567, "fair_value": 108.104033, "relative_strength": -13.092614, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.047524, "energy": 68.68604, "activity_lines": [ 8.879, 7.622545, 6.870929, 7.054944 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.18, "volume": 57981, "typical_volume": 663815.65, "trend": 7.533567, "fair_value": 107.051086, "relative_strength": -10.068869, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.342331, "energy": 71.235355, "activity_lines": [ 9.572, 8.247727, 7.202786, 7.228649 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.93, "volume": 55617, "typical_volume": 663000.05, "trend": 7.576567, "fair_value": 106.017883, "relative_strength": -11.224365, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.045475, "energy": 73.494121, "activity_lines": [ 9.885333, 8.734, 7.508595, 7.383258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.9001, "volume": 40778, "typical_volume": 662422.3, "trend": 7.62097, "fair_value": 105.006117, "relative_strength": -14.409721, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.435671, "energy": 70.771303, "activity_lines": [ 10.014033, 9.124836, 7.80051, 7.533163 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }