{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b75800ea-0294-481c-9d8d-1a1b8fb4cbfe", "symbol": "TOWN", "name": "Towne Bank", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.752, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.093, "architecture_energy": 62.7, "architecture_maturity": 34.314, "architecture_confidence": 72.812, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.64, "rotation_up": 69.73, "upward_expansion": 88.1, "deceleration": 45.24, "rotation_down": 12.93, "downward_expansion": 12.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.188, 36.644421, 35.755239, 35.200103 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 37.46, "trend_reference": 34.719566, "distance_from_trend": 0.078931, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.392199, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.232553, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.024539, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.023252, "excess_performance": -0.164202, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.078931, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032908, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.232553, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044906, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.040245, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09956, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.023252, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.552593, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3583593, "relative_activity": 1.269545, "balance": 1.552593, "dry_up": 1.247782, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045244, "annualized_volatility": 0.207291, "from_high_reference": -0.040102, "from_low_reference": 0.216991 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.719566, "fair_value_reference": 30.392199, "structural_low": 31.187953, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.00917, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.001085, "regime_survival": 0.68, "best_return": 0.125822, "worst_return": -0.106167, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.031599, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.094663, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.079802, "worst_return": -0.088022, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.006835, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.078934, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.056829, "worst_return": -0.257177, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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54.862331, "energy": 59.044169, "activity_lines": [ 35.877794, 35.267741, 34.732794, 34.483101 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 36.565, "volume": 3659757, "typical_volume": 2818506.3, "trend": 34.280194, "fair_value": 30.10625, "relative_strength": -3.232787, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.726169, "energy": 67.172929, "activity_lines": [ 36.169317, 35.576804, 34.961753, 34.636682 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.65, "volume": 3336961, "typical_volume": 2872598.05, "trend": 34.409918, "fair_value": 30.196321, "relative_strength": -1.19523, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.134777, "energy": 62.88442, "activity_lines": [ 36.411333, 35.867825, 35.183319, 34.789573 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.91, "volume": 3508330, "typical_volume": 2922079.0, "trend": 34.596875, "fair_value": 30.296993, "relative_strength": 1.813537, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.426258, "energy": 66.655807, "activity_lines": [ 36.926333, 36.329256, 35.504594, 35.015385 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.46, "volume": 3583593, "typical_volume": 2822737.45, "trend": 34.719566, "fair_value": 30.392199, "relative_strength": -4.024539, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.093204, "energy": 62.699542, "activity_lines": [ 37.188, 36.644421, 35.755239, 35.200103 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }