{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7604c48-abf4-453c-b813-b0ac6c01100a", "symbol": "2442", "name": "Jean Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 83.388, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -20.647, "architecture_energy": 10.065, "architecture_maturity": 12.577, "architecture_confidence": 78.711, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.54, "rotation_up": 19.66, "upward_expansion": 21.93, "deceleration": 48.41, "rotation_down": 31.66, "downward_expansion": 48.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.376667, 19.374546, 19.280476, 19.416237 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 19.4, "trend_reference": 19.833333, "distance_from_trend": -0.021849, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.180344, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.197695, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -39.741704, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.07619, "excess_performance": -0.517563, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.021849, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082455, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.197695, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040959, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.397417, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094767, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.07619, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.664066, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6384731, "relative_activity": 0.732779, "balance": 1.664066, "dry_up": 0.753797, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041039, "annualized_volatility": 0.193104, "from_high_reference": -0.350902, "from_low_reference": 0.083799 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.833333, "fair_value_reference": 24.180344, "structural_low": 17.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.041985, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.014752, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.122845, "worst_return": -0.226917, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.068627, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.035672, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.109453, "worst_return": -0.236307, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.010461, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.162167, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.223602, "worst_return": -0.262745, "sufficient": 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19.374546, 19.275, 19.563417 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.4, "volume": 7665865, "typical_volume": 9339146.5, "trend": 20.138983, "fair_value": 24.148953, "relative_strength": -38.275563, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.103777, "energy": 19.768936, "activity_lines": [ 19.336667, 19.39, 19.27381, 19.500472 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.4, "volume": 8102020, "typical_volume": 8763186.25, "trend": 19.966667, "fair_value": 24.165404, "relative_strength": -38.694917, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.260086, "energy": 16.425286, "activity_lines": [ 19.346667, 19.389091, 19.274048, 19.452796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 19.4, "volume": 6384731, "typical_volume": 8713042.15, "trend": 19.833333, "fair_value": 24.180344, "relative_strength": -39.741704, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.646781, "energy": 10.065241, "activity_lines": [ 19.376667, 19.374546, 19.280476, 19.416237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }