{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b76423c6-ca1c-4a00-b8f6-a4eef79e9a35",
    "symbol": "KA8",
    "name": "Klassik Radio AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 82.746,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 34.237,
    "architecture_energy": 41.959,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.653,
    "architecture_confidence": 47.543,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.62,
        "rotation_up": 58.0,
        "upward_expansion": 56.61,
        "deceleration": 28.31,
        "rotation_down": 24.81,
        "downward_expansion": 14.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.0,
        2.98604,
        2.929757,
        2.919302
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 3.0,
    "trend_reference": 2.939259,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.020665,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.170247,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.053702,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.389279,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.132112,
    "excess_performance": -0.196752,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020665,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00294,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053702,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097141,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073893,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032972,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.132112,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1297,
      "relative_activity": 0.715705,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.726189,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024644,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.211505,
      "from_high_reference": -0.193789,
      "from_low_reference": 0.18525
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.939259,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.170247,
      "structural_low": 2.531111,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.014137,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010314,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.013057,
        "worst_return": -0.140449,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.026419,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.083877,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.059524,
        "worst_return": -0.162921,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.058201,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.12704,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.02375,
        "worst_return": -0.113095,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.035833,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.318311,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.035833,
        "worst_return": -0.035833,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.072222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.058511,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011236,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005649,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.032731,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.018292,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.024096,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02381,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
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        "return": -0.018987,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
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        "return": -0.012739,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": -0.140449,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "return": 0.013513,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
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        "return": 0.006711,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 3.794426,
        "volume": 2840,
        "typical_volume": 2442.8,
        "trend": 3.849838,
        "fair_value": 4.290395,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 2.994518,
        "fair_value": 3.25453,
        "relative_strength": -9.006142,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 2.852222,
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        "typical_volume": 4127.6,
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        "relative_strength": -5.89606,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 1651,
        "typical_volume": 3787.35,
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        "relative_strength": -8.240667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": -2.275347,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.527574,
        "energy": 25.601472,
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          2.921778,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2.98,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3623.45,
        "trend": 2.922815,
        "fair_value": 3.199727,
        "relative_strength": -6.900315,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.727715,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3.0,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 3504.9,
        "trend": 2.923963,
        "fair_value": 3.193741,
        "relative_strength": -3.480748,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.393914,
        "energy": 51.540765,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.974,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1672.0,
        "trend": 2.92637,
        "fair_value": 3.187756,
        "relative_strength": -2.46134,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.221516,
        "energy": 63.207723,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.989333,
          2.949313,
          2.89318,
          2.905802
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.0,
        "volume": 3967,
        "typical_volume": 1870.0,
        "trend": 2.929407,
        "fair_value": 3.181771,
        "relative_strength": -3.341913,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.470714,
        "energy": 56.610251,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.997333,
          2.964242,
          2.906286,
          2.910552
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1870.0,
        "trend": 2.934963,
        "fair_value": 3.175898,
        "relative_strength": -5.117626,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.699076,
        "energy": 53.206051,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.998667,
          2.976485,
          2.918418,
          2.915106
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.0,
        "volume": 1297,
        "typical_volume": 1812.2,
        "trend": 2.939259,
        "fair_value": 3.170247,
        "relative_strength": -7.389279,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.237068,
        "energy": 41.958673,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.0,
          2.98604,
          2.929757,
          2.919302
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}