{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b7670f7a-9650-42fd-99ba-af9d734ccd89",
    "symbol": "MVEA",
    "name": "iShares Edge MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Advanced UCITS ETF USD (Acc)",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 77.127,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 92.913,
    "architecture_energy": 75.661,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.073,
    "architecture_confidence": 55.301,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.9,
        "rotation_up": 85.71,
        "upward_expansion": 90.0,
        "deceleration": 58.35,
        "rotation_down": 11.1,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.1452,
        7.066618,
        6.924605,
        6.840957
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 7.293,
    "trend_reference": 6.757667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.079219,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.784016,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.075027,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.120007,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.101163,
    "excess_performance": 0.018279,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079219,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012946,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075027,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097394,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0312,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033055,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101163,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 461.2,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4,
      "relative_activity": 0.003161,
      "balance": 461.2,
      "dry_up": 0.002173,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015442,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.079587,
      "from_high_reference": -0.137076,
      "from_low_reference": 0.121482
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.757667,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.784016,
      "structural_low": 6.503,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.002029,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011231,
        "regime_survival": 0.681818,
        "best_return": 0.068378,
        "worst_return": -0.203573,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.018089,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017314,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.080911,
        "worst_return": -0.20665,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.002571,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00579,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.092196,
        "worst_return": -0.216234,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "best_return": 0.149654,
        "worst_return": -0.036088,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
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        "return": 0.0,
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.561645,
        "energy": 25.083549,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.605667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 6.553,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 2968.95,
        "trend": 6.725483,
        "fair_value": 6.702926,
        "relative_strength": -6.425514,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.000552,
        "energy": 27.385015,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.589733,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 2969.1,
        "trend": 6.725683,
        "fair_value": 6.707772,
        "relative_strength": -5.584311,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.734543,
        "energy": 15.729709,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 95,
        "typical_volume": 2973.85,
        "trend": 6.6699,
        "fair_value": 6.713798,
        "relative_strength": -5.672507,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 10.912821,
        "energy": 14.173722,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 1442.1,
        "trend": 6.6713,
        "fair_value": 6.719119,
        "relative_strength": -6.268311,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 24.194208,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.699333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 6.799,
        "volume": 33,
        "typical_volume": 1443.7,
        "trend": 6.6763,
        "fair_value": 6.724862,
        "relative_strength": -4.166682,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.881054,
        "energy": 46.695136,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1041.95,
        "trend": 6.680867,
        "fair_value": 6.729965,
        "relative_strength": -5.974345,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 66.028774,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 1243.8,
        "trend": 6.683767,
        "fair_value": 6.735433,
        "relative_strength": -6.111078,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.301225,
        "energy": 70.53118,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 6.94,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1243.7,
        "trend": 6.687967,
        "fair_value": 6.741253,
        "relative_strength": -6.882884,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.9806,
        "energy": 89.855781,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.850067,
          6.787564,
          6.711495,
          6.69297
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1243.6,
        "trend": 6.6947,
        "fair_value": 6.747901,
        "relative_strength": -7.437827,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.734797,
        "energy": 95.180966,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.909733,
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          6.713166
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 7.084,
        "volume": 435,
        "typical_volume": 1265.25,
        "trend": 6.7063,
        "fair_value": 6.755721,
        "relative_strength": -4.875182,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.196994,
        "energy": 96.909504,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.9796,
          6.893255,
          6.779852,
          6.738282
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 7.019,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 1265.2,
        "trend": 6.716233,
        "fair_value": 6.762176,
        "relative_strength": -6.216498,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.401594,
        "energy": 89.497959,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.0088,
          6.929764,
          6.808895,
          6.758456
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.097,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 1265.2,
        "trend": 6.729167,
        "fair_value": 6.769202,
        "relative_strength": -4.822837,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.376472,
        "energy": 92.295666,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.050333,
          6.971982,
          6.843762,
          6.783022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.075,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 1265.25,
        "trend": 6.740833,
        "fair_value": 6.775625,
        "relative_strength": -4.944934,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.924826,
        "energy": 70.413827,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.065933,
          7.002182,
          6.874795,
          6.805333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.293,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 1265.35,
        "trend": 6.757667,
        "fair_value": 6.784016,
        "relative_strength": -3.120007,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.913231,
        "energy": 75.661161,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.1452,
          7.066618,
          6.924605,
          6.840957
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}