{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b76e3560-121f-4536-a5e7-a38776404f1f",
    "symbol": "CGRA",
    "name": "CI Global Real Asset Private Pool - ETF C$ Series",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 81.551,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.584,
    "architecture_energy": 82.907,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.413,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.921,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.77,
        "rotation_up": 71.01,
        "upward_expansion": 95.63,
        "deceleration": 42.91,
        "rotation_down": 23.2,
        "downward_expansion": 17.63
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.187959,
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        25.75913,
        25.460729
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 26.25,
    "trend_reference": 25.006198,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04974,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.456244,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.22342,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.894099,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.110128,
    "excess_performance": -0.010293,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04974,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042424,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.22342,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001132,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028941,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003621,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110128,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 38.369163,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 38.369163,
      "dry_up": 0.533452,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.007353,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.111015,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000864,
      "from_low_reference": 0.178954
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.006198,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.456244,
      "structural_low": 23.500519,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.005185,
        "positive_rate": 0.575758,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.575758,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004019,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.077906,
        "worst_return": -0.052811,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.000881,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012358,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.093068,
        "worst_return": -0.107634,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.026613,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008051,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.056026,
        "sufficient": false
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        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.048937,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 21.255666,
        "relative_strength": -1.83105,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 75.689214,
        "energy": 90.909863,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 26.043383,
        "volume": 6700,
        "typical_volume": 4117.8,
        "trend": 24.649737,
        "fair_value": 21.307114,
        "relative_strength": -1.227358,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.31754,
        "energy": 91.487683,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.957576,
          25.769845,
          25.48181,
          25.17916
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 26.173,
        "volume": 819,
        "typical_volume": 3958.75,
        "trend": 24.768706,
        "fair_value": 21.355352,
        "relative_strength": -0.853876,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.421779,
        "energy": 92.520935,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.04737,
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          25.576815,
          25.277435
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 26.25,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3718.75,
        "trend": 24.890242,
        "fair_value": 21.405969,
        "relative_strength": 0.063278,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.95498,
        "energy": 89.374425,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.130202,
          25.974195,
          25.672938,
          25.373002
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.25,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3523.75,
        "trend": 25.006198,
        "fair_value": 21.456244,
        "relative_strength": -2.894099,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.583864,
        "energy": 82.906548,
        "activity_lines": [
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          25.460729
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}