{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b77ca2df-01e1-4023-a2c1-116663d438f5", "symbol": "300842", "name": "Wuxi DK Electronic Materials Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.528, "architecture_energy": 86.914, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.659, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.41, "rotation_up": 8.18, "upward_expansion": 21.77, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 80.3, "downward_expansion": 97.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.749333, 65.326181, 74.329761, 80.008838 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 58.0, "trend_reference": 86.577333, "distance_from_trend": -0.330079, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 54.837183, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.057676, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.849127, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.464994, "excess_performance": -0.472394, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.330079, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04602, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.057676, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.719417, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.238491, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.429686, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.464994, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.386128, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21002453, "relative_activity": 0.809527, "balance": 0.386128, "dry_up": 0.995697, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.185438, "annualized_volatility": 0.635075, "from_high_reference": -0.547582, "from_low_reference": 0.354191 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 86.577333, "fair_value_reference": 54.837183, "structural_low": 48.91, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.000145, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006051, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.527982, "worst_return": -0.26346, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.170909, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.051734, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.109326, "worst_return": -0.425012, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.433093, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.3028, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.955936, "worst_return": -0.015648, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-26.001156, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.042154, "energy": 85.374977, "activity_lines": [ 65.839333, 73.179272, 79.610237, 84.179957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.0, "volume": 23436846, "typical_volume": 26547890.65, "trend": 86.619667, "fair_value": 54.778137, "relative_strength": -29.408238, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.971858, "energy": 92.295861, "activity_lines": [ 58.968666, 68.214545, 76.525476, 81.855268 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.0, "volume": 21002453, "typical_volume": 25944092.65, "trend": 86.577333, "fair_value": 54.837183, "relative_strength": -23.849127, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.527561, "energy": 86.914286, "activity_lines": [ 56.749333, 65.326181, 74.329761, 80.008838 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }