{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b77e9663-d518-44a4-b5a8-fd5009ca1642", "symbol": "DIGISPICE", "name": "DiGiSPICE Technologies Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -40.167, "architecture_energy": 51.743, "architecture_maturity": 31.031, "architecture_confidence": 76.847, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.85, "rotation_up": 21.94, "upward_expansion": 22.04, "deceleration": 39.42, "rotation_down": 66.75, "downward_expansion": 56.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.316667, 18.977455, 19.352095, 19.177806 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 17.549999, "trend_reference": 19.241, "distance_from_trend": -0.087885, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.871859, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.3469, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.17058, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.1225, "excess_performance": -0.078791, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.087885, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078702, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.3469, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123101, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.191706, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153719, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.1225, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.118533, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 578289, "relative_activity": 1.589775, "balance": 0.118533, "dry_up": 1.130845, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077712, "annualized_volatility": 0.308581, "from_high_reference": -0.505634, "from_low_reference": 0.18421 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.241, "fair_value_reference": 26.871859, "structural_low": 14.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.038961, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.368421, "median_excess_return": -0.060142, "regime_survival": 0.526316, "best_return": 0.893462, "worst_return": -0.223809, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.111487, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.130815, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.582751, "worst_return": -0.241966, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.021529, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.113776, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.347319, "worst_return": -0.373467, 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"active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.043878, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.187486, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.116544, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.131294, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.059387, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", 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"balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -1.3501, "energy": 4.607058, "activity_lines": [ 19.726667, 19.854364, 19.622048, 19.461548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.790001, "volume": 244531, "typical_volume": 401025.5, "trend": 19.602667, "fair_value": 27.030513, "relative_strength": -11.115683, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.429292, "energy": 10.943194, "activity_lines": [ 19.388, 19.657273, 19.599524, 19.395484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.1, "volume": 359901, "typical_volume": 392345.7, "trend": 19.421333, "fair_value": 26.959359, "relative_strength": -16.281995, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.746224, "energy": 30.772163, "activity_lines": [ 18.891334, 19.356727, 19.504095, 19.298538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.549999, "volume": 578289, "typical_volume": 363755.3, "trend": 19.241, "fair_value": 26.871859, "relative_strength": -19.17058, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.166573, "energy": 51.743435, "activity_lines": [ 18.316667, 18.977455, 19.352095, 19.177806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }