{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b77ef121-78e3-4f74-847f-670e5efa46c4", "symbol": "603058", "name": "GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 51.021, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.809, "architecture_energy": 38.381, "architecture_maturity": 48.396, "architecture_confidence": 53.876, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.82, "rotation_up": 24.69, "upward_expansion": 16.75, "deceleration": 66.29, "rotation_down": 46.4, "downward_expansion": 69.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.086, 9.012182, 9.642143, 10.242559 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.1, "trend_reference": 10.818, "distance_from_trend": -0.066371, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.959732, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.127266, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.800006, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.077626, "excess_performance": -0.034422, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066371, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0035, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.127266, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213294, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.008, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118507, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.077626, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.947825, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 90183776, "relative_activity": 2.415089, "balance": 0.947825, "dry_up": 1.378497, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106321, "annualized_volatility": 0.454943, "from_high_reference": -0.292221, "from_low_reference": 0.422535 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.818, "fair_value_reference": 8.959732, "structural_low": 7.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.07417, "positive_rate": 0.8125, "directional_follow_through": 0.1875, "median_excess_return": 0.061044, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.311966, "worst_return": -0.022535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.206485, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.150138, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.347578, "worst_return": 0.098795, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.152303, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.076469, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.502403, "worst_return": -0.07979, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 8.972995, "relative_strength": -14.526303, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.629428, "energy": 80.167899, "activity_lines": [ 8.996667, 9.484545, 10.351714, 10.752538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.0, "volume": 22884458, "typical_volume": 38944005.15, "trend": 10.852, "fair_value": 8.963306, "relative_strength": -18.196887, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.794125, "energy": 87.235606, "activity_lines": [ 8.603333, 9.121091, 10.057381, 10.565957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.51, "volume": 38992312, "typical_volume": 36991111.6, "trend": 10.817, "fair_value": 8.957137, "relative_strength": -13.928224, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.063998, "energy": 76.208206, "activity_lines": [ 8.512, 8.924182, 9.836143, 10.41486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.84, "volume": 53841724, "typical_volume": 35501218.3, "trend": 10.793667, "fair_value": 8.953645, "relative_strength": -10.84258, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.383107, "energy": 57.47082, "activity_lines": [ 8.586, 8.836909, 9.669952, 10.287312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.1, "volume": 90183776, "typical_volume": 37341804.4, "trend": 10.818, "fair_value": 8.959732, "relative_strength": -0.800006, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.808909, "energy": 38.38066, "activity_lines": [ 9.086, 9.012182, 9.642143, 10.242559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }