{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b786d786-830d-4b1a-a9ff-c4ad2f1d3796", "symbol": "AMZN", "name": "Amazon.com, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 81.371, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.507, "architecture_energy": 52.532, "architecture_maturity": 26.537, "architecture_confidence": 77.373, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.6, "rotation_up": 62.51, "upward_expansion": 75.36, "deceleration": 44.52, "rotation_down": 12.37, "downward_expansion": 18.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 4499.368587, 4373.767392, 4384.465105, 4283.454848 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4702.549805, "trend_reference": 4155.248975, "distance_from_trend": 0.131713, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3684.863457, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.27618, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.920811, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.302007, "excess_performance": 0.356674, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.131713, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006188, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.27618, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063698, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.099208, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072498, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.302007, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.444134, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 110444, "relative_activity": 1.718527, "balance": 1.444134, "dry_up": 1.290417, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0628, "annualized_volatility": 0.365902, "from_high_reference": -0.052112, "from_low_reference": 0.393059 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4155.248975, "fair_value_reference": 3684.863457, "structural_low": 3375.699951, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.02356, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.008581, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.234863, "worst_return": -0.171037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.03073, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.084382, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.1303, "worst_return": -0.313309, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.021352, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.067823, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.31122, "worst_return": -0.262402, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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[ 4374.953971, 4301.34288, 4344.637407, 4247.591483 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4702.549805, "volume": 110444, "typical_volume": 64266.65, "trend": 4155.248975, "fair_value": 3684.863457, "relative_strength": 9.920811, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.506662, "energy": 52.532024, "activity_lines": [ 4499.368587, 4373.767392, 4384.465105, 4283.454848 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }