{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7934a77-2a86-455d-85a5-a6cfba308934", "symbol": "VLLU", "name": "HARBOR ALPHAEDGE LARGE CAP VALUE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.75, "architecture_energy": 70.066, "architecture_maturity": 49.454, "architecture_confidence": 86.571, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.92, "rotation_up": 60.33, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 59.25, "rotation_down": 27.03, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.579433, 26.432091, 26.032153, 25.54732 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 26.9508, "trend_reference": 25.006423, "distance_from_trend": 0.077755, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.358282, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.205406, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.047116, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.095459, "excess_performance": -0.030166, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077755, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043306, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.205406, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049368, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.000471, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01755, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.095459, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.191947, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 475, "relative_activity": 0.675243, "balance": 2.191947, "dry_up": 1.109532, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015656, "annualized_volatility": 0.099603, "from_high_reference": -0.002749, "from_low_reference": 0.251994 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.006423, "fair_value_reference": 22.358282, "structural_low": 23.0672, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.016881, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.01386, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.032567, "worst_return": 0.003017, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.069455, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.018465, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.069455, "worst_return": 0.069455, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"direction": 71.492563, "energy": 66.503676, "activity_lines": [ 26.26278, 26.122842, 25.498181, 25.102341 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.1693, "volume": 863, "typical_volume": 4193.0, "trend": 24.73682, "fair_value": 22.22797, "relative_strength": 1.208406, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.948316, "energy": 61.107525, "activity_lines": [ 26.225087, 26.17076, 25.616856, 25.200303 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.3543, "volume": 525, "typical_volume": 665.1, "trend": 24.818053, "fair_value": 22.26965, "relative_strength": 2.466821, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.535889, "energy": 61.603368, "activity_lines": [ 26.262587, 26.2347, 25.74405, 25.304657 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.5403, "volume": 1259, "typical_volume": 691.85, "trend": 24.91176, "fair_value": 22.312357, "relative_strength": 2.017753, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.657568, "energy": 64.69512, "activity_lines": [ 26.36506, 26.303855, 25.876414, 25.415769 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.9508, "volume": 475, "typical_volume": 703.45, "trend": 25.006423, "fair_value": 22.358282, "relative_strength": 0.047116, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.74955, "energy": 70.065624, "activity_lines": [ 26.579433, 26.432091, 26.032153, 25.54732 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }