{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b79837ac-0ac7-42b7-a079-232a4a830a00", "symbol": "CGC", "name": "Canopy Growth Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.93, "architecture_energy": 46.554, "architecture_maturity": 19.623, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.26, "rotation_up": 17.12, "upward_expansion": 8.42, "deceleration": 42.53, "rotation_down": 56.15, "downward_expansion": 81.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.935767, 0.948858, 0.991179, 1.010842 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.9701, "trend_reference": 1.043447, "distance_from_trend": -0.070293, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.434346, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.71753, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.552775, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.118091, "excess_performance": -0.305545, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070293, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083978, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.71753, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006735, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.275528, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009029, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.118091, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.480121, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13688647, "relative_activity": 0.382415, "balance": 0.480121, "dry_up": 0.324581, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104295, "annualized_volatility": 0.391298, "from_high_reference": -0.592395, "from_low_reference": 0.150089 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.043447, "fair_value_reference": 3.434346, "structural_low": 0.8435, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 45, "median_return": -0.075325, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.104548, "regime_survival": 0.844444, "best_return": 1.925244, "worst_return": -0.420792, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.180284, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.22654, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 1.206897, "worst_return": -0.698734, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.091603, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.280823, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.415948, "worst_return": -0.8, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": -30.888965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.476318, "energy": 55.792867, "activity_lines": [ 0.937473, 0.962475, 1.00509, 1.025417 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.9173, "volume": 12512881, "typical_volume": 37664313.55, "trend": 1.05211, "fair_value": 3.453942, "relative_strength": -28.630842, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.657128, "energy": 56.626135, "activity_lines": [ 0.926867, 0.949751, 0.995376, 1.016133 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.9701, "volume": 13688647, "typical_volume": 35795256.65, "trend": 1.043447, "fair_value": 3.434346, "relative_strength": -27.552775, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.930257, "energy": 46.553572, "activity_lines": [ 0.935767, 0.948858, 0.991179, 1.010842 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }