{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7b3077d-1d76-4dba-912c-a034a733ddc6", "symbol": "301626", "name": "Suzhou Tianmai Thermal Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 77.534, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.439, "architecture_energy": 36.77, "architecture_maturity": 46.775, "architecture_confidence": 45.449, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.98, "rotation_up": 14.08, "upward_expansion": 17.19, "deceleration": 71.28, "rotation_down": 65.53, "downward_expansion": 42.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 241.559332, 268.685637, 282.270995, 274.745417 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 256.839996, "trend_reference": 256.571095, "distance_from_trend": 0.001048, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 161.555178, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.589797, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 19.446892, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.419846, "excess_performance": 0.412446, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001048, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.179841, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.589797, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.527202, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.194469, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.328544, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.419846, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.363556, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12975067, "relative_activity": 1.382699, "balance": 1.363556, "dry_up": 1.296266, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.166733, "annualized_volatility": 0.760923, "from_high_reference": -0.286556, "from_low_reference": 1.202161 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 256.571095, "fair_value_reference": 161.555178, "structural_low": 168.700044, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.267972, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.209228, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 111.623184, "volume": 2918968, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 108.13279, "volume": 13902329, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, 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"activity_lines": [ 297.667339, 306.281693, 297.218256, 278.920731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 212.399994, "volume": 12340882, "typical_volume": 9752329.15, "trend": 253.062325, "fair_value": 159.751432, "relative_strength": 3.735678, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -16.34486, "energy": 26.477848, "activity_lines": [ 264.412669, 289.102894, 290.228277, 276.386605 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 225.0, "volume": 13210562, "typical_volume": 9565612.85, "trend": 254.216085, "fair_value": 160.484562, "relative_strength": 10.957047, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.442871, "energy": 40.110133, "activity_lines": [ 243.672667, 275.42291, 284.687457, 274.576132 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 256.839996, "volume": 12975067, "typical_volume": 9383869.95, "trend": 256.571095, "fair_value": 161.555178, "relative_strength": 19.446892, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.438559, "energy": 36.770498, "activity_lines": [ 241.559332, 268.685637, 282.270995, 274.745417 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }