{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7b4fef7-3930-4494-bed4-192d18aa13bf", "symbol": "002402", "name": "Shenzhen H&T Intelligent Control Co.Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.25, "architecture_energy": 76.003, "architecture_maturity": 64.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.157, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.71, "rotation_up": 11.79, "upward_expansion": 17.36, "deceleration": 40.18, "rotation_down": 69.63, "downward_expansion": 88.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.996667, 22.332, 24.901122, 26.877399 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 21.48, "trend_reference": 29.943514, "distance_from_trend": -0.282649, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.834414, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.016232, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.416523, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.423885, "excess_performance": -0.431285, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.282649, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.199756, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.016232, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.591775, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.424165, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215739, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.423885, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.339163, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 156716828, "relative_activity": 1.108617, "balance": 0.339163, "dry_up": 1.359115, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.134271, "annualized_volatility": 0.551329, "from_high_reference": -0.643854, "from_low_reference": 0.135307 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.943514, "fair_value_reference": 21.834414, "structural_low": 18.92, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.009822, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.008297, "regime_survival": 0.884615, "best_return": 0.314714, "worst_return": -0.251675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.06118, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.023579, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.15234, "worst_return": -0.246165, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.068642, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.00652, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.328618, "worst_return": -0.277829, "sufficient": true }, 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"volume": 173766156, "typical_volume": 137440914.35, "trend": 31.19016, "fair_value": 21.775289, "relative_strength": -46.046198, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.412227, "energy": 64.807089, "activity_lines": [ 22.465333, 23.600318, 26.202715, 28.17631 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.1, "volume": 140429005, "typical_volume": 138874207.7, "trend": 30.522974, "fair_value": 21.79752, "relative_strength": -43.532324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.284394, "energy": 67.424071, "activity_lines": [ 21.430667, 22.744182, 25.458891, 27.460816 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.48, "volume": 156716828, "typical_volume": 141362469.6, "trend": 29.943514, "fair_value": 21.834414, "relative_strength": -42.416523, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.24977, "energy": 76.002584, "activity_lines": [ 20.996667, 22.332, 24.901122, 26.877399 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }