{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7b7e239-faa3-4891-b6d4-d7ac1c8380ac", "symbol": "EURSRI", "name": "UBS MSCI Europe Socially Responsible UCITS ETF EUR acc", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 73.047, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.824, "architecture_energy": 72.481, "architecture_maturity": 42.75, "architecture_confidence": 79.863, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.19, "rotation_up": 62.21, "upward_expansion": 92.93, "deceleration": 46.57, "rotation_down": 28.34, "downward_expansion": 14.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.253467, 18.197091, 17.893581, 17.643798 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 18.254, "trend_reference": 17.414267, "distance_from_trend": 0.048221, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.912256, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.147166, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.826548, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.061279, "excess_performance": -0.109613, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048221, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027415, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.147166, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055198, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.078265, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024014, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.061279, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.020189, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010855, "annualized_volatility": 0.104243, "from_high_reference": -0.014576, "from_low_reference": 0.156781 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.414267, "fair_value_reference": 15.912256, "structural_low": 15.78, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"fair_value": 15.790077, "relative_strength": -6.896197, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.409564, "energy": 91.398917, "activity_lines": [ 18.151867, 17.941127, 17.555876, 17.400783 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.254, "volume": 485, "typical_volume": 6465.4, "trend": 17.2874, "fair_value": 15.820474, "relative_strength": -5.272749, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.243666, "energy": 90.237371, "activity_lines": [ 18.210533, 18.036, 17.648762, 17.466671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.254, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6434.5, "trend": 17.342067, "fair_value": 15.84909, "relative_strength": -4.883039, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.858127, "energy": 88.845836, "activity_lines": [ 18.2432, 18.107564, 17.737228, 17.529032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.254, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6005.75, "trend": 17.387067, "fair_value": 15.881, "relative_strength": -5.314668, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.681749, "energy": 84.122018, "activity_lines": [ 18.249867, 18.157564, 17.819143, 17.587867 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.254, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6005.75, "trend": 17.414267, "fair_value": 15.912256, "relative_strength": -7.826548, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.824356, "energy": 72.480952, "activity_lines": [ 18.253467, 18.197091, 17.893581, 17.643798 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }