{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7bc917d-fb8b-41b7-a2d1-25618f402979", "symbol": "BOROLTD", "name": "Borosil Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 73.057, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -4.249, "architecture_energy": 5.417, "architecture_maturity": 16.999, "architecture_confidence": 68.727, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.49, "rotation_up": 29.94, "upward_expansion": 33.19, "deceleration": 38.97, "rotation_down": 23.96, "downward_expansion": 41.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 237.928002, 236.632546, 235.631287, 236.423334 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 244.210007, "trend_reference": 239.371334, "distance_from_trend": 0.020214, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 335.998743, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.273182, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.708509, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.033215, "excess_performance": 0.010495, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020214, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092327, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.273182, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015163, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.107085, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017394, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.033215, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.731606, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 468768, "relative_activity": 1.289537, "balance": 1.731606, "dry_up": 1.473154, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07394, "annualized_volatility": 0.325275, "from_high_reference": -0.38633, "from_low_reference": 0.14261 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 239.371334, "fair_value_reference": 335.998743, "structural_low": 213.729996, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.029193, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": -0.031909, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.184026, "worst_return": -0.122, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.026369, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.002808, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.146837, "worst_return": -0.194575, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.12778, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.037102, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.284945, "worst_return": -0.177878, "sufficient": true }, { 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-13.205517, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.520619, "energy": 14.571588, "activity_lines": [ 236.054665, 233.475999, 234.861714, 236.63357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 235.300003, "volume": 250317, "typical_volume": 373728.75, "trend": 240.581001, "fair_value": 336.85673, "relative_strength": -13.805404, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.52622, "energy": 10.632316, "activity_lines": [ 235.439333, 234.301272, 234.840953, 236.189205 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 244.210007, "volume": 468768, "typical_volume": 363516.4, "trend": 239.371334, "fair_value": 335.998743, "relative_strength": -10.708509, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.248782, "energy": 5.41674, "activity_lines": [ 237.928002, 236.632546, 235.631287, 236.423334 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }