{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7c2916b-6cfe-4190-ad2b-043cf2fb63d4", "symbol": "MA10", "name": "Binect AG", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.857, "architecture_energy": 76.339, "architecture_maturity": 19.239, "architecture_confidence": 79.448, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.35, "rotation_up": 72.37, "upward_expansion": 90.34, "deceleration": 45.75, "rotation_down": 11.53, "downward_expansion": 17.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.701333, 1.666182, 1.586952, 1.556387 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.74, "trend_reference": 1.525667, "distance_from_trend": 0.140485, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.920256, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.093871, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.070796, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.191781, "excess_performance": 0.127141, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.140485, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002848, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.093871, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.172951, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.010708, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.160104, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.191781, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.64273, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7655, "relative_activity": 0.649141, "balance": 2.64273, "dry_up": 0.909582, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052166, "annualized_volatility": 0.470086, "from_high_reference": -0.275, "from_low_reference": 0.308271 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.525667, "fair_value_reference": 1.920256, "structural_low": 1.33, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.044808, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.214286, "median_excess_return": -0.046322, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.098266, "worst_return": -0.136905, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.043442, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.072236, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.062992, "worst_return": -0.214286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.176471, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.186103, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.0625, "worst_return": -0.256303, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 14052.9, "trend": 1.502333, "fair_value": 1.93359, "relative_strength": -2.897203, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.292676, "energy": 68.135051, "activity_lines": [ 1.62, 1.563636, 1.518286, 1.508817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.64, "volume": 24090, "typical_volume": 15256.9, "trend": 1.507333, "fair_value": 1.93, "relative_strength": 0.159319, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.925729, "energy": 67.999654, "activity_lines": [ 1.624667, 1.586, 1.53119, 1.517699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.67, "volume": 179, "typical_volume": 15164.35, "trend": 1.514, "fair_value": 1.926603, "relative_strength": 1.16877, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.666943, "energy": 59.909367, "activity_lines": [ 1.639333, 1.610364, 1.546238, 1.528194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.73, "volume": 10981, "typical_volume": 12296.4, "trend": 1.519, "fair_value": 1.923462, "relative_strength": 2.954938, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.455291, "energy": 66.790942, "activity_lines": [ 1.671333, 1.64, 1.566, 1.542129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.74, "volume": 7655, "typical_volume": 11792.5, "trend": 1.525667, "fair_value": 1.920256, "relative_strength": 1.070796, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.856827, "energy": 76.338993, "activity_lines": [ 1.701333, 1.666182, 1.586952, 1.556387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }