{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7ca4086-ea05-4c2e-aa39-1684251791eb", "symbol": "PNC", "name": "PNC Financial Services Group Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.346, "architecture_energy": 64.483, "architecture_maturity": 39.398, "architecture_confidence": 87.936, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.14, "rotation_up": 67.22, "upward_expansion": 87.48, "deceleration": 51.89, "rotation_down": 18.85, "downward_expansion": 11.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 251.124693, 248.033295, 238.374532, 231.921428 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 252.56, "trend_reference": 226.010341, "distance_from_trend": 0.117471, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 174.601625, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.446493, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.19007, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.049575, "excess_performance": -0.07605, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.117471, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073468, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.446493, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126156, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.061901, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085848, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.049575, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.95773, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7176989, "relative_activity": 0.729441, "balance": 2.95773, "dry_up": 0.927185, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039311, "annualized_volatility": 0.233084, "from_high_reference": -0.021578, "from_low_reference": 0.449904 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 226.010341, "fair_value_reference": 174.601625, "structural_low": 196.053262, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.006094, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.013789, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.156472, "worst_return": -0.13418, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.018347, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.008331, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.188597, "worst_return": -0.205849, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.13118, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.037564, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.362453, "worst_return": -0.127848, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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249.744759, 243.744687, 233.659706, 228.414891 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 249.87, "volume": 7838960, "typical_volume": 10327537.95, "trend": 224.73309, "fair_value": 173.73412, "relative_strength": 8.971089, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.459811, "energy": 76.570966, "activity_lines": [ 250.213836, 245.922991, 236.008724, 230.126143 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 252.56, "volume": 7176989, "typical_volume": 9839022.4, "trend": 226.010341, "fair_value": 174.601625, "relative_strength": 6.19007, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.345851, "energy": 64.482898, "activity_lines": [ 251.124693, 248.033295, 238.374532, 231.921428 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }