{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7cdf905-7e57-4c3f-9aa3-15792ea54a36", "symbol": "ZEEMEDIA", "name": "Zee Media Corporation Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.619, "architecture_energy": 64.0, "architecture_maturity": 31.096, "architecture_confidence": 81.744, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.0, "rotation_up": 11.44, "upward_expansion": 14.51, "deceleration": 35.45, "rotation_down": 71.85, "downward_expansion": 85.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.637333, 7.947273, 8.091524, 8.092903 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.21, "trend_reference": 8.135, "distance_from_trend": -0.113706, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.967692, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.444003, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.606107, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.117503, "excess_performance": -0.073794, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.113706, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043354, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.444003, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080984, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.206061, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017985, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.117503, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.341701, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14518069, "relative_activity": 2.911141, "balance": 0.341701, "dry_up": 1.726036, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083965, "annualized_volatility": 0.440249, "from_high_reference": -0.456259, "from_low_reference": 0.084211 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.135, "fair_value_reference": 12.967692, "structural_low": 6.65, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.052914, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": -0.076539, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.56015, "worst_return": -0.265781, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.083446, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.133736, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.694202, "worst_return": -0.282759, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.218485, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.282475, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.113876, "worst_return": -0.385559, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.216393, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.303772, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.018605, "worst_return": -0.419619, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-08-25", "end": "2024-02-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.344538, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-02-23", "end": "2024-03-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.17608, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-03-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.058824, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-05", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.08642, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.020567, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.04152, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.108293, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.100241, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.093304, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.039597, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.023994, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.13079, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.374204, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.143705, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 11.95, "volume": 18874661, "typical_volume": 22321496.4, "trend": 9.665, "fair_value": 11.467628, "relative_strength": -8.723156, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value 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"activity_lines": [ 8.385333, 8.382182, 8.230524, 8.233742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.17, "volume": 3437328, "typical_volume": 4210721.0, "trend": 8.286, "fair_value": 13.046987, "relative_strength": -12.202578, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.050846, "energy": 5.305292, "activity_lines": [ 8.296667, 8.353455, 8.237762, 8.223656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.97, "volume": 2845142, "typical_volume": 3970526.9, "trend": 8.235667, "fair_value": 13.027564, "relative_strength": -11.363095, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.394008, "energy": 10.212531, "activity_lines": [ 8.172, 8.291273, 8.227476, 8.203269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.5, "volume": 13630931, "typical_volume": 4450267.35, "trend": 8.185, "fair_value": 13.00641, "relative_strength": -17.764599, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.684815, "energy": 36.741595, "activity_lines": [ 7.928667, 8.142364, 8.172762, 8.155806 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.21, "volume": 14518069, "typical_volume": 4987071.85, "trend": 8.135, "fair_value": 12.967692, "relative_strength": -20.606107, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.61894, "energy": 64.000089, "activity_lines": [ 7.637333, 7.947273, 8.091524, 8.092903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }