{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7da20ff-63a0-4220-941e-2df6cbfe2c56", "symbol": "6113", "name": "ASEC International Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 64.997, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -11.503, "architecture_energy": 17.947, "architecture_maturity": 14.01, "architecture_confidence": 50.958, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.82, "rotation_up": 18.5, "upward_expansion": 16.66, "deceleration": 62.07, "rotation_down": 52.97, "downward_expansion": 39.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.313333, 24.225455, 24.878095, 24.285591 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 24.65, "trend_reference": 23.511667, "distance_from_trend": 0.048416, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.276646, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.059001, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.334385, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.226368, "excess_performance": -0.215004, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048416, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073102, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.059001, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003602, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.213344, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078545, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.226368, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.681164, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1622238, "relative_activity": 0.640638, "balance": 1.681164, "dry_up": 0.404353, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.149009, "annualized_volatility": 0.496093, "from_high_reference": -0.21246, "from_low_reference": 0.361878 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.511667, "fair_value_reference": 23.276646, "structural_low": 18.6, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.040565, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.022744, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.245575, "worst_return": -0.11129, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.069359, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.159968, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.567485, "worst_return": -0.222222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.079576, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.232605, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.067485, "worst_return": -0.331317, "sufficient": 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"close": 21.15, "volume": 768522, "typical_volume": 2449462.25, "trend": 23.388333, "fair_value": 23.141794, "relative_strength": -29.957168, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.332401, "energy": 24.053055, "activity_lines": [ 23.2, 24.710909, 24.899286, 24.197204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.6, "volume": 1300787, "typical_volume": 2477956.6, "trend": 23.491667, "fair_value": 23.203943, "relative_strength": -22.890617, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.817737, "energy": 23.720197, "activity_lines": [ 22.98, 24.336364, 24.845714, 24.21086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 24.65, "volume": 1622238, "typical_volume": 2532221.85, "trend": 23.511667, "fair_value": 23.276646, "relative_strength": -21.334385, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.503078, "energy": 17.94723, "activity_lines": [ 23.313333, 24.225455, 24.878095, 24.285591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }