{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7da9f69-ae00-426e-bcf9-69d86526e26c", "symbol": "3230", "name": "Jiin Ming Industry Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 49.528, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.016, "architecture_energy": 23.647, "architecture_maturity": 67.877, "architecture_confidence": 76.799, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.48, "rotation_up": 30.07, "upward_expansion": 61.39, "deceleration": 88.21, "rotation_down": 30.83, "downward_expansion": 16.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.2, 42.314545, 39.257619, 38.757849 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 44.450001, "trend_reference": 37.933333, "distance_from_trend": 0.171793, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.365218, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.332226, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.57814, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.326866, "excess_performance": -0.114506, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.171793, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013628, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.332226, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.365797, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.265781, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.245498, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.326866, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.258886, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3985218, "relative_activity": 0.720965, "balance": 2.258886, "dry_up": 1.113059, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135416, "annualized_volatility": 0.846351, "from_high_reference": -0.344395, "from_low_reference": 0.6742 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.933333, "fair_value_reference": 33.365218, "structural_low": 27.9, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.013464, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.051569, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.122538, "worst_return": -0.140845, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.054464, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.041985, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.59375, "worst_return": -0.35, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.271429, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.257032, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 3.08867, "worst_return": -0.338, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"volume": 4794984, "typical_volume": 5553820.8, "trend": 37.523333, "fair_value": 32.975374, "relative_strength": -38.379788, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.843714, "energy": 37.067903, "activity_lines": [ 42.323333, 41.102727, 38.408333, 38.141935 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.25, "volume": 3690438, "typical_volume": 5523215.2, "trend": 37.63, "fair_value": 33.15572, "relative_strength": -32.248836, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.358431, "energy": 17.570777, "activity_lines": [ 40.683333, 41.418181, 38.633571, 38.317849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 44.450001, "volume": 3985218, "typical_volume": 5527612.65, "trend": 37.933333, "fair_value": 33.365218, "relative_strength": -26.57814, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.015701, "energy": 23.647489, "activity_lines": [ 41.2, 42.314545, 39.257619, 38.757849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }