{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7e50f49-4682-4c64-9284-6d0b9ae02f89", "symbol": "CJ", "name": "Cardinal Energy Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 71.072, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.182, "architecture_energy": 14.664, "architecture_maturity": 31.606, "architecture_confidence": 68.793, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.67, "rotation_up": 39.1, "upward_expansion": 55.5, "deceleration": 66.12, "rotation_down": 22.67, "downward_expansion": 23.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.129856, 11.035053, 11.279874, 11.14364 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 10.94, "trend_reference": 10.726938, "distance_from_trend": 0.019862, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.904116, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.584562, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.428474, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.192778, "excess_performance": 0.072357, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.019862, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088402, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.584562, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.317775, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.034285, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.296168, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.192778, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.179641, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4425400, "relative_activity": 0.889859, "balance": 1.179641, "dry_up": 1.095308, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066621, "annualized_volatility": 0.297968, "from_high_reference": -0.173608, "from_low_reference": 0.663834 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.726938, "fair_value_reference": 6.904116, "structural_low": 8.897786, "invalidation": "A 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4.123342, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -7.648724, "energy": 24.350699, "activity_lines": [ 10.754213, 11.142579, 11.32174, 10.974626 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.714628, "volume": 4960100, "typical_volume": 5562870.0, "trend": 10.440636, "fair_value": 6.791483, "relative_strength": 6.066179, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.539336, "energy": 20.798605, "activity_lines": [ 10.695758, 11.000843, 11.27855, 10.997796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.430925, "volume": 5981100, "typical_volume": 5292690.0, "trend": 10.540632, "fair_value": 6.829794, "relative_strength": 12.232533, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.15808, "energy": 15.005985, "activity_lines": [ 10.930829, 11.015619, 11.298848, 11.061685 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.51, "volume": 6421900, "typical_volume": 5106030.0, "trend": 10.639072, "fair_value": 6.868806, "relative_strength": 12.845667, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.105688, "energy": 13.400922, "activity_lines": [ 11.148878, 11.068639, 11.319755, 11.124225 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.94, "volume": 4425400, "typical_volume": 4973145.0, "trend": 10.726938, "fair_value": 6.904116, "relative_strength": 3.428474, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.182233, "energy": 14.664264, "activity_lines": [ 11.129856, 11.035053, 11.279874, 11.14364 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }