{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b7ef7bf1-6cd9-4b81-a070-bdc08329a4b5", "symbol": "000795", "name": "Innuovo Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.164, "architecture_energy": 56.79, "architecture_maturity": 11.244, "architecture_confidence": 91.01, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.96, "rotation_up": 14.19, "upward_expansion": 14.43, "deceleration": 35.61, "rotation_down": 61.51, "downward_expansion": 83.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.437333, 8.666909, 8.854801, 9.018943 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 8.72, "trend_reference": 9.331634, "distance_from_trend": -0.065544, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.422887, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.035274, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.289093, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.159923, "excess_performance": -0.167323, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.065544, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042906, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.035274, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097115, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.152891, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12278, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.159923, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.698082, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 74975123, "relative_activity": 0.947727, "balance": 0.698082, "dry_up": 0.91807, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086546, "annualized_volatility": 0.472043, "from_high_reference": -0.30428, "from_low_reference": 0.094103 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.331634, "fair_value_reference": 8.422887, "structural_low": 7.97, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.022878, "positive_rate": 0.73913, "directional_follow_through": 0.26087, "median_excess_return": 0.019365, "regime_survival": 0.652174, "best_return": 0.217194, "worst_return": -0.264559, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.10479, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.007446, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.15, "worst_return": -0.123618, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.008224, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.056468, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.261539, "worst_return": -0.096877, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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163529135, "typical_volume": 87082526.95, "trend": 9.538967, "fair_value": 8.388491, "relative_strength": -23.724332, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.154696, "energy": 24.154161, "activity_lines": [ 9.099333, 9.126415, 9.128878, 9.303171 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.15, "volume": 87003814, "typical_volume": 84909719.2, "trend": 9.478967, "fair_value": 8.393518, "relative_strength": -19.927085, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.852288, "energy": 53.954161, "activity_lines": [ 8.749333, 8.946643, 9.024502, 9.21356 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.12, "volume": 71252466, "typical_volume": 82566679.75, "trend": 9.424301, "fair_value": 8.399225, "relative_strength": -19.727204, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.468899, "energy": 61.184735, "activity_lines": [ 8.467333, 8.782296, 8.930554, 9.125885 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.42, "volume": 57284329, "typical_volume": 80597465.4, "trend": 9.373301, "fair_value": 8.409223, "relative_strength": -14.652562, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.578301, "energy": 64.044262, "activity_lines": [ 8.4, 8.692303, 8.874939, 9.061091 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.72, "volume": 74975123, "typical_volume": 79110477.75, "trend": 9.331634, "fair_value": 8.422887, "relative_strength": -15.289093, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.164418, "energy": 56.79037, "activity_lines": [ 8.437333, 8.666909, 8.854801, 9.018943 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }