{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b80002d2-d83f-4b7f-804e-c764d16454c6", "symbol": "S1KM34", "name": "SK Telecom Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 11.046, "architecture_energy": 12.937, "architecture_maturity": 39.244, "architecture_confidence": 70.832, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.32, "rotation_up": 26.8, "upward_expansion": 45.46, "deceleration": 80.1, "rotation_down": 36.05, "downward_expansion": 37.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.806667, 43.093272, 44.773783, 43.928265 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 45.439999, "trend_reference": 41.923183, "distance_from_trend": 0.083887, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.494955, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.490082, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 22.9653, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.226949, "excess_performance": 0.283997, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.083887, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164118, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.490082, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077593, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.229653, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03413, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.226949, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.453262, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22, "relative_activity": 0.006339, "balance": 0.453262, "dry_up": 1.100467, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102974, "annualized_volatility": 0.6253, "from_high_reference": -0.215605, "from_low_reference": 0.761966 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.923183, "fair_value_reference": 30.494955, "structural_low": 36.3197, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.036885, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.048642, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.355263, "worst_return": -0.044748, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.063393, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.094472, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.380117, "worst_return": -0.044242, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.099279, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.175875, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.54598, "worst_return": 0.016346, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.099728, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.035679, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.317953, "worst_return": -0.118498, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.031697, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.087112, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.00937, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.071876, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.118127, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.1008, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.013561, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.034678, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.067485, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward 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40.286533, "fair_value": 30.069953, "relative_strength": 4.438108, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -20.27866, "energy": 37.265223, "activity_lines": [ 41.196, 44.303456, 44.964313, 43.403292 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 45.639999, "volume": 17, "typical_volume": 3471.35, "trend": 40.90186, "fair_value": 30.227346, "relative_strength": 22.843466, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.364011, "energy": 22.22755, "activity_lines": [ 42.389333, 44.203377, 45.128592, 43.748676 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.560001, "volume": 20, "typical_volume": 3470.85, "trend": 41.314522, "fair_value": 30.342535, "relative_strength": 4.152368, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -11.328796, "energy": 22.466692, "activity_lines": [ 41.55, 43.045454, 44.676632, 43.662105 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.439999, "volume": 22, "typical_volume": 3470.8, "trend": 41.923183, "fair_value": 30.494955, "relative_strength": 22.9653, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.046471, "energy": 12.937345, "activity_lines": [ 42.806667, 43.093272, 44.773783, 43.928265 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }