{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b80f5950-ff19-4f1d-821d-44705fbec677", "symbol": "KEYS", "name": "Keysight Technologies, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.812, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.894, "architecture_energy": 15.412, "architecture_maturity": 61.053, "architecture_confidence": 92.267, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.95, "rotation_up": 24.23, "upward_expansion": 47.94, "deceleration": 84.82, "rotation_down": 28.96, "downward_expansion": 25.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 284.063326, 286.020903, 289.242614, 280.789157 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 295.049988, "trend_reference": 262.299997, "distance_from_trend": 0.124857, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 164.647949, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.792005, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 13.47042, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.522289, "excess_performance": 0.348042, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.124857, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.181276, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.792005, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.212772, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.134704, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.333496, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.522289, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060029, "annualized_volatility": 0.398245, "from_high_reference": -0.067331, "from_low_reference": 1.178455 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 262.299997, "fair_value_reference": 164.647949, "structural_low": 193.100006, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.068124, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.005701, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.068124, "worst_return": 0.068124, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.270728, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.288444, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.270728, "worst_return": -0.270728, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.114762, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.342523, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.114762, "worst_return": -0.114762, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.125379, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.354348, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.125379, "worst_return": 0.125379, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.075275, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.042982, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.044171, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.122125, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.039055, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.124696, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.181444, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.186758, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.05213, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.879667, "active": false }, { 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"energy": 24.040455, "activity_lines": [ 282.203329, 288.942723, 288.498329, 274.95733 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 281.549988, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.0, "trend": 254.947664, "fair_value": 162.811603, "relative_strength": 13.064933, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.203506, "energy": 22.097883, "activity_lines": [ 279.68666, 286.969085, 288.597852, 276.9052 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 278.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.0, "trend": 258.400997, "fair_value": 163.672244, "relative_strength": 11.121216, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.78432, "energy": 17.410018, "activity_lines": [ 278.469995, 284.831813, 288.213567, 278.424706 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 295.049988, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.0, "trend": 262.299997, "fair_value": 164.647949, "relative_strength": 13.47042, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.893764, "energy": 15.412096, "activity_lines": [ 284.063326, 286.020903, 289.242614, 280.789157 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }