{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b81eb96a-22b7-4538-a30b-53440861a5b5", "symbol": "600761", "name": "Anhui Heli Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -31.777, "architecture_energy": 15.55, "architecture_maturity": 77.23, "architecture_confidence": 71.317, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.56, "rotation_up": 28.27, "upward_expansion": 19.77, "deceleration": 43.58, "rotation_down": 27.65, "downward_expansion": 56.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.26, 17.05, 17.194665, 17.626449 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 17.23, "trend_reference": 18.463907, "distance_from_trend": -0.066828, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.106795, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.048424, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.861229, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.187758, "excess_performance": -0.144554, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066828, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050635, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.048424, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084934, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.088612, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004194, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.187758, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.361462, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 59271029, "relative_activity": 1.020082, "balance": 1.361462, "dry_up": 1.134189, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074794, "annualized_volatility": 0.346077, "from_high_reference": -0.273344, "from_low_reference": 0.083648 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.463907, "fair_value_reference": 18.106795, "structural_low": 15.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.048346, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.036172, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.176738, "worst_return": -0.092017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.151204, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": 0.142583, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.345029, "worst_return": -0.043553, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.327315, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.219171, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.499236, "worst_return": 0.214074, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -62.698353, "energy": 44.971074, "activity_lines": [ 16.578666, 16.802291, 17.191003, 17.859649 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.91, "volume": 70125507, "typical_volume": 62994081.1, "trend": 18.68084, "fair_value": 18.131865, "relative_strength": -7.921448, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.680044, "energy": 36.330174, "activity_lines": [ 16.651333, 16.75755, 17.121185, 17.739828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.26, "volume": 73142109, "typical_volume": 59900835.25, "trend": 18.566532, "fair_value": 18.121641, "relative_strength": -0.899938, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.631267, "energy": 18.631355, "activity_lines": [ 17.191333, 17.000086, 17.203669, 17.712677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.23, "volume": 59271029, "typical_volume": 58104155.1, "trend": 18.463907, "fair_value": 18.106795, "relative_strength": -8.861229, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.777444, "energy": 15.55043, "activity_lines": [ 17.26, 17.05, 17.194665, 17.626449 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }