{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b822c84f-5488-4e7e-8861-2ec78d5fb449", "symbol": "ATP30", "name": "ATP 30 Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 71.828, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.528, "architecture_energy": 29.957, "architecture_maturity": 14.378, "architecture_confidence": 71.542, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.22, "rotation_up": 8.81, "upward_expansion": 8.16, "deceleration": 59.99, "rotation_down": 58.41, "downward_expansion": 67.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.8, 0.810909, 0.81029, 0.813405 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.79, "trend_reference": 0.820326, "distance_from_trend": -0.036968, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.864005, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.085654, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.666417, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.058481, "excess_performance": -0.250806, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.036968, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002799, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.085654, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016476, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.186664, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023034, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.058481, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.527342, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1125500, "relative_activity": 0.418321, "balance": 0.527342, "dry_up": 1.56821, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042843, "annualized_volatility": 0.180418, "from_high_reference": -0.171463, "from_low_reference": 0.03567 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.820326, "fair_value_reference": 0.864005, "structural_low": 0.762791, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.001161, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.021842, "regime_survival": 0.526316, "best_return": 0.174603, "worst_return": -0.153847, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.077631, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.064229, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.233871, "worst_return": -0.173408, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.064517, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.102177, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.725806, "worst_return": -0.331683, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.279458, "energy": 10.996588, "activity_lines": [ 0.82, 0.820364, 0.81412, 0.817471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.79, "volume": 2721900, "typical_volume": 2922310.0, "trend": 0.821008, "fair_value": 0.865129, "relative_strength": -19.745316, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.758516, "energy": 24.182722, "activity_lines": [ 0.808, 0.815636, 0.812156, 0.815406 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.79, "volume": 1125500, "typical_volume": 2690520.0, "trend": 0.820326, "fair_value": 0.864005, "relative_strength": -18.666417, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.528095, "energy": 29.95672, "activity_lines": [ 0.8, 0.810909, 0.81029, 0.813405 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }