{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b82d5d1d-b4b5-408f-8844-c4d85852e876", "symbol": "OR", "name": "L'Or\u00e9al S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 65.489, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.7, "architecture_energy": 28.776, "architecture_maturity": 18.738, "architecture_confidence": 45.941, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.15, "rotation_up": 38.45, "upward_expansion": 67.27, "deceleration": 67.42, "rotation_down": 23.66, "downward_expansion": 7.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 383.086664, 382.888182, 377.869069, 373.687408 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 385.899994, "trend_reference": 371.527383, "distance_from_trend": 0.038685, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 374.879021, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.029399, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.620314, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.001444, "excess_performance": -0.054755, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.038685, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020031, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.029399, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063857, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026203, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001353, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.001444, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.045385, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1470705, "relative_activity": 0.911197, "balance": 1.045385, "dry_up": 0.916325, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042857, "annualized_volatility": 0.238031, "from_high_reference": -0.037656, "from_low_reference": 0.161225 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 371.527383, "fair_value_reference": 374.879021, "structural_low": 332.321459, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.008477, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.001528, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.096508, "worst_return": -0.046097, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.020096, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.01593, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.116295, "worst_return": -0.006376, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.030035, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.060656, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.069519, "worst_return": -0.11556, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -1.900318, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.57346, "energy": 21.681491, "activity_lines": [ 379.760006, 380.920913, 374.33706, 371.663319 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 387.049988, "volume": 1801811, "typical_volume": 1699823.25, "trend": 371.277914, "fair_value": 374.912637, "relative_strength": -0.159748, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.004735, "energy": 25.30035, "activity_lines": [ 381.583333, 382.240001, 376.253573, 372.744048 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 385.899994, "volume": 1470705, "typical_volume": 1614036.75, "trend": 371.527383, "fair_value": 374.879021, "relative_strength": -2.620314, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.699818, "energy": 28.776388, "activity_lines": [ 383.086664, 382.888182, 377.869069, 373.687408 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }