{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b83345b3-7e66-4761-b5e8-b6bb8b08a9b9", "symbol": "KIRLOSIND", "name": "Kirloskar Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.89, "architecture_energy": 38.227, "architecture_maturity": 68.612, "architecture_confidence": 63.882, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.72, "rotation_up": 41.71, "upward_expansion": 67.44, "deceleration": 65.36, "rotation_down": 25.7, "downward_expansion": 17.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 3847.213363, 3852.296365, 3620.421911, 3445.477857 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 3759.600098, "trend_reference": 3265.166675, "distance_from_trend": 0.151427, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3994.595133, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.058828, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.235888, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.211133, "excess_performance": 0.254842, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.151427, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039481, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.058828, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08693, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.102359, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.109278, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.211133, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.31899, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40765, "relative_activity": 0.898554, "balance": 3.31899, "dry_up": 0.901585, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085038, "annualized_volatility": 0.423516, "from_high_reference": -0.13473, "from_low_reference": 0.526431 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3265.166675, "fair_value_reference": 3994.595133, "structural_low": 2463.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.008014, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.023398, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.246862, "worst_return": -0.128563, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.089624, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.047924, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.367332, "worst_return": -0.102849, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.342482, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.211227, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.433371, "worst_return": -0.253615, "sufficient": true }, { 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"modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.065174, "energy": 55.280847, "activity_lines": [ 3913.179981, 3840.467254, 3582.349046, 3411.968604 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3759.600098, "volume": 40765, "typical_volume": 45367.35, "trend": 3265.166675, "fair_value": 3994.595133, "relative_strength": 10.235888, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.890095, "energy": 38.227049, "activity_lines": [ 3847.213363, 3852.296365, 3620.421911, 3445.477857 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }