{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b8418e80-0c47-497b-88c4-85a4d3731add", "symbol": "LUXIND", "name": "Lux Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 77.811, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 22.242, "architecture_energy": 16.196, "architecture_maturity": 34.962, "architecture_confidence": 86.756, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.7, "rotation_up": 22.62, "upward_expansion": 57.96, "deceleration": 79.42, "rotation_down": 25.72, "downward_expansion": 17.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 1256.673324, 1255.629077, 1295.697132, 1251.276549 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1269.400024, "trend_reference": 1172.444993, "distance_from_trend": 0.082695, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1433.263886, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.114329, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.646291, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.29696, "excess_performance": 0.34067, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082695, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034509, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.114329, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.191591, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.066463, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.236493, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.29696, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.34699, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 136274, "relative_activity": 0.160012, "balance": 1.34699, "dry_up": 0.14244, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068742, "annualized_volatility": 0.722038, "from_high_reference": -0.303809, "from_low_reference": 0.540441 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1172.444993, "fair_value_reference": 1433.263886, "structural_low": 824.049988, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.0268, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.044012, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.20544, "worst_return": -0.106531, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.085087, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.047843, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.451135, "worst_return": -0.332301, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.046361, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.039723, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.301882, "worst_return": -0.394604, "sufficient": 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"close": 1226.599976, "volume": 89175, "typical_volume": 873270.6, "trend": 1159.554995, "fair_value": 1437.278509, "relative_strength": 6.249872, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.799741, "energy": 9.962534, "activity_lines": [ 1252.299976, 1262.096347, 1297.853082, 1238.80343 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1247.599976, "volume": 63766, "typical_volume": 865362.45, "trend": 1164.11166, "fair_value": 1435.217737, "relative_strength": 5.517409, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.673847, "energy": 15.274292, "activity_lines": [ 1251.773308, 1256.281798, 1296.650938, 1244.483752 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1269.400024, "volume": 136274, "typical_volume": 851647.35, "trend": 1172.444993, "fair_value": 1433.263886, "relative_strength": 6.646291, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.242293, "energy": 16.195745, "activity_lines": [ 1256.673324, 1255.629077, 1295.697132, 1251.276549 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }