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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.273, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.113, "architecture_energy": 41.622, "architecture_maturity": 12.035, "architecture_confidence": 88.695, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.29, "rotation_up": 56.05, "upward_expansion": 78.87, "deceleration": 54.47, "rotation_down": 17.96, "downward_expansion": 5.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 851.525983, 839.387841, 827.235204, 800.198829 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 833.95, "trend_reference": 757.831534, "distance_from_trend": 0.100442, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 464.669302, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.794717, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.369453, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.2627, "excess_performance": 0.075247, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100442, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137028, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.794717, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.275687, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.103695, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12875, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.2627, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.819782, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1530886, "relative_activity": 0.560334, "balance": 0.819782, "dry_up": 0.567819, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081868, "annualized_volatility": 0.353099, "from_high_reference": -0.101202, "from_low_reference": 0.706593 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 757.831534, "fair_value_reference": 464.669302, "structural_low": 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"fair_value": 460.889911, "relative_strength": 21.702105, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.817658, "energy": 47.179135, "activity_lines": [ 853.976704, 837.778754, 824.149039, 794.76944 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 833.95, "volume": 1530886, "typical_volume": 2732093.55, "trend": 757.831534, "fair_value": 464.669302, "relative_strength": 10.369453, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.112519, "energy": 41.621767, "activity_lines": [ 851.525983, 839.387841, 827.235204, 800.198829 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }