{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b85e698e-6576-439a-b3de-3e58baf31e86", "symbol": "5386", "name": "Albatron Technology Co., Ltd", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 5.182, "architecture_energy": 12.292, "architecture_maturity": 45.626, "architecture_confidence": 75.086, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.18, "rotation_up": 17.64, "upward_expansion": 40.96, "deceleration": 83.28, "rotation_down": 39.37, "downward_expansion": 37.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 255.233333, 264.36732, 282.790576, 266.800206 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 260.5, "trend_reference": 229.451672, "distance_from_trend": 0.135315, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 76.833933, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.390429, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 40.967884, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 2.208896, "excess_performance": 1.767524, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.135315, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.499387, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.390429, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.672803, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.409679, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.938786, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.208896, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.811468, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6194308, "relative_activity": 0.533165, "balance": 0.811468, "dry_up": 0.501531, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.234688, "annualized_volatility": 1.20902, "from_high_reference": -0.374061, "from_low_reference": 5.329949 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 229.451672, "fair_value_reference": 76.833933, "structural_low": 83.500001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.031944, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.00398, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.100765, "worst_return": -0.10771, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.011759, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.044237, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.171924, "worst_return": -0.236239, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.08427, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.060006, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 5.26183, "worst_return": -0.180272, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 73.867699, "relative_strength": 35.893948, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.531527, "energy": 19.469469, "activity_lines": [ 245.20331, 274.625331, 284.299364, 260.780731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 271.0, "volume": 5101023, "typical_volume": 11581866.9, "trend": 222.58855, "fair_value": 75.371803, "relative_strength": 54.677137, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.991225, "energy": 15.835472, "activity_lines": [ 251.712832, 269.341961, 284.0638, 264.354306 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 260.5, "volume": 6194308, "typical_volume": 11618002.95, "trend": 229.451672, "fair_value": 76.833933, "relative_strength": 40.967884, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.182205, "energy": 12.29185, "activity_lines": [ 255.233333, 264.36732, 282.790576, 266.800206 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }